Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $581 | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$219 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $193 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$54 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $205 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$21 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $105 | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$7 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $74 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$18 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $108 | 54¢ | 34¢ | -$40 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $53 | 35¢ | 41¢ | +$8 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $280 | 68¢ | 14¢ | -$225 |
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?eSports | Yes | $56 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $26 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $142 | 76¢ | 16¢ | -$114 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $26 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?Politics | No | $23 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $14 | 62¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $351 | 76¢ | 3.9¢ | -$332 |
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 30¢ | 20¢ | -$9 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $141 | 67¢ | 7.5¢ | -$125 |
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte GiantsBaseball (other) | Lotte Giants | $14 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $12 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 3.1¢ | -$33 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $112 | 8.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$103 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 41¢ | 73¢ | +$3 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 53¢ | 17¢ | -$11 |
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 5.7¢ | -$5 |
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 16¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $18 | 45¢ | 7.5¢ | -$15 |
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $5 | 44¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 90¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 5.4¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 3.1¢ | -$6 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | No | $1 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5World Cup | OverResolved | $170 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $459 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$459 |
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $36 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)World Cup | NetherlandsResolved | $40 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World Cup | YesResolved | $47 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $87 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $209 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$209 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $112 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $24 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $446 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$446 |
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSports | Game MasterResolved | $170 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLB | Cleveland GuardiansResolved | $33 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $46 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHL | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffseSports | Eintracht SpandauResolved | $90 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs 4M (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group AeSports | 4MResolved | $34 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
South Africa leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $102 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $52 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $134 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5World Cup | OverResolved | $156 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$156 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $629 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$629 |
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $253 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$253 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageeSports | RUSTECResolved | $67 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $32 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $87 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $192 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$192 |
Will MIBR.LOS win the EWC League of Legends TournamenteSports | YesResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Movistar KOI win the EWC League of Legends TournamenteSports | YesResolved | $150 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $459 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$459 |
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $143 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
Spread: Norway (-3.5)World Cup | NorwayResolved | $88 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis CardinalsMLB | San Diego PadresResolved | $114 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $14 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $118 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington NationalsMLB | Kansas City RoyalsResolved | $93 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $515 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$515 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Qatar to score first vs. Canada?World Cup | YesResolved | $45 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $515 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$515 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $152 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $220 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |