← Whale Watch

FredericChopin

Predicting since Apr 20262,778 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $20K on World Cup markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $1.3K across 6 World Cup markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$74682¢80¢-$23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49185¢87¢+$10
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$37093¢96¢+$13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$38975¢67¢-$43
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBYes$35176¢66¢-$47
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$25664¢65¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$93.8¢31¢+$66
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$7070¢66¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$449.0¢9.5¢+$2
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2689¢99¢+$3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$93.8¢12¢+$18
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?TechNo$2788¢92¢+$1
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2687¢85¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢15¢+$19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢15¢+$18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$2512¢12¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢15¢+$17
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?PoliticsNo$2391¢90¢-$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1462¢91¢+$6
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsNo$1994¢98¢+$1
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$1584¢91¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢9.3¢+$9
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$1987¢66¢-$5
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte GiantsBaseball (other)Lotte Giants$1448¢48¢-$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$1292¢99¢+$1
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$1487¢80¢-$1
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$13062¢6.0¢-$118
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$1293¢93¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$93.8¢4.5¢+$1
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$521¢43¢+$5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢6.0¢+$4
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes$2730¢10¢-$18
Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$790¢100¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$298.3¢2.2¢-$22
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$341¢79¢+$3
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?TechYes$814¢12¢-$1
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$544¢55¢+$1
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$460¢90¢+$2
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1653¢18¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢3.4¢-$1
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxMLBChicago White Sox$547¢48¢+$0
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$690¢60¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢2.3¢-$3
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$19.9¢27¢+$2
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$216¢24¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$93.8¢1.3¢-$6
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?CultureNo$382¢91¢+$0
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$480¢51¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢1.6¢-$4
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$419¢10¢-$2
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$285¢96¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$2917¢1.1¢-$27
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$1313¢1.5¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$156.2¢0.5¢-$14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$93.8¢0.5¢-$8
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?PoliticsNo$163¢61¢-$0
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$466¢19¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.8¢0.8¢-$5
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?PoliticsYes$05.4¢12¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$93.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?TechYesResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$17034¢0.0¢-$170
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$63.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$3630¢0.0¢-$36
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)World CupNetherlandsResolved$4022¢0.0¢-$40
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$4723¢0.0¢-$47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.8¢0.0¢-$3
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$4013¢0.0¢-$40
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6666¢0.0¢-$66
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$8741¢0.0¢-$87
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$163.8¢0.0¢-$16
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?TechNoResolved$11249¢0.0¢-$112
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?CultureYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$93.8¢0.0¢-$9
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$2448¢0.0¢-$24
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3010¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$575.4¢0.0¢-$57
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSportsGame MasterResolved$17034¢0.0¢-$170
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$3341¢0.0¢-$33
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?TechNoResolved$4642¢0.0¢-$46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$307.6¢0.0¢-$30
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffseSportsEintracht SpandauResolved$9020¢0.0¢-$90
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs 4M (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group AeSports4MResolved$3433¢0.0¢-$34
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
South Africa leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$10217¢0.0¢-$102
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$5226¢0.0¢-$52
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?TechYesResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$15611¢0.0¢-$156
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$483.8¢0.0¢-$48
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$25327¢0.0¢-$253
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$93.8¢0.0¢-$9
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageeSportsRUSTECResolved$6748¢0.0¢-$67
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$741¢0.0¢-$7
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$3242¢0.0¢-$32
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$19232¢0.0¢-$192

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$20K
eSports-$8.4K
Politics-$6.8K
MLB-$1.3K
Finance-$518
Tech-$461
Weather-$350
Tennis-$142
Crypto-$68
Culture-$38
Mentions+$23
MLS+$14
Biggest hit
+$457
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$235
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$02h ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$20610h ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$111h ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$111h ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$111h ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$111h ago
  • MERGE Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$60013h ago
  • CONVERSION Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?$2013h ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$3016h ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$26116h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$6416h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$6416h ago