← Whale Watch

theo5

Predicting since Dec 20211,004 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $148K on Other markets since Dec 2021.

Right now: $67K across 6 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$138K on Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$36K44¢47¢+$1.9K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechYes$28K35¢38¢+$1.6K
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$26K91¢97¢+$1.8K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$7.1K46¢64¢+$2.8K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?TechYes$4.4K19¢40¢+$5.1K
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$8.3K48¢50¢+$261
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5.6K93¢96¢+$167
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$5.5K28¢28¢-$41
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$1.1K11¢33¢+$2.1K
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceNo$1.1K12¢28¢+$1.6K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechYes$1.9K11¢12¢+$240
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2.0K98¢100¢+$45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$1.7K47¢43¢-$161
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.0K3.9¢1.1¢-$2.1K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechYes$77721¢23¢+$56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.0K18¢12¢-$377
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?TechYes$62112¢10¢-$104
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechYes$60524¢20¢-$107
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$740.3¢1.8¢+$380
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$60321¢14¢-$192
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechNo$712.0¢11¢+$315
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$83221¢9.5¢-$460
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$61542¢24¢-$273
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?TechNo$14412¢28¢+$186
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$3554.5¢4.0¢-$39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$65725¢11¢-$368
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?CryptoYes$44274¢44¢-$178
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$23924¢23¢-$5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3401.8¢1.1¢-$143
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$27540¢24¢-$112
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsNo$10321¢28¢+$39
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsYes$9015¢20¢+$33
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYes$32511¢4.2¢-$206
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?TechNo$11022¢21¢-$8
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$20541¢19¢-$113
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1625.1¢2.9¢-$72
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?TechYes$955.0¢4.5¢-$9
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$22211¢4.3¢-$137
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?PoliticsYes$517.4¢10.0¢+$18
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechYes$10827¢16¢-$45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?TechYes$626.0¢5.0¢-$11
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$301.2¢1.1¢-$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?TechYes$213.2¢2.3¢-$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$405.0¢1.7¢-$26
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$30.2¢0.8¢+$10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$80.3¢0.2¢-$2
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$40.2¢0.3¢+$2
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?TechOpenAI$1610¢3.1¢-$11
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$50.3¢0.3¢-$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$60.8¢0.5¢-$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$203.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$15038¢0.0¢-$150
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechNoResolved$37827¢0.0¢-$378
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?TechYesResolved$5809.7¢0.0¢-$580
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$192.8¢0.0¢-$19
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$60012¢0.0¢-$600
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3.0K5.3¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$295.7¢0.0¢-$29
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K9.1¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4.5K5.3¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$380.7¢0.0¢-$38

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Other+$148K
Tech+$14K
World Cup-$7.6K
Politics+$4.2K
Finance+$1.6K
Economy-$1.1K
Other sports-$86
Culture+$84
Crypto+$72
Biggest hit
+$138K
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Toughest beat
-$137K
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?$535h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?$945h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$1075h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2465h ago
  • Sold No · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1935h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$12d ago
  • Cashed out No · Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals$05d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$16d ago
  • Cashed out No · Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals$06d ago