← Whale Watch

dex53

Predicting since May 20263,909 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $82K on Tennis markets since May 2026.

Right now: $38K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$10K on Spurs vs. Thunder.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$26K98¢99¢+$250
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$15K99¢99¢+$36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$14K84¢83¢-$195
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$11K99¢99¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10K93¢82¢-$1.2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$7.6K92¢100¢+$609
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$5.2K99¢100¢+$28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$3.6K92¢100¢+$298
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$3.6K89¢94¢+$200
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$3.3K82¢90¢+$316
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$3.5K96¢95¢-$69
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$5.7K90¢50¢-$2.5K
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.1K99¢100¢+$8
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.0K97¢100¢+$70
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K83¢78¢-$219
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.6K100¢100¢+$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.4K93¢99¢+$136
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoNo$2.0K95¢98¢+$76
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$2.1K99¢100¢+$14
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K86¢95¢+$177
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$1.9K87¢89¢+$27
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$1.9K99¢100¢+$8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1.8K81¢79¢-$61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$1.6K98¢100¢+$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?FinanceNo$1.4K99¢100¢+$9
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$1.4K98¢100¢+$21
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$1.3K94¢100¢+$72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$1.2K89¢97¢+$107
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoNo$1.4K76¢71¢-$107
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1.3K99¢100¢+$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$1.2K95¢99¢+$49
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoNo$1.2K96¢98¢+$23
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K90¢95¢+$59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K82¢43¢-$1.1K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K100¢100¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?CryptoNo$1.1K100¢100¢-$0
Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?CryptoNo$1.0K100¢100¢+$2
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?CryptoNo$99499¢100¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$97595¢96¢+$13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$96592¢92¢-$9
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?CryptoNo$874100¢100¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoNo$86699¢99¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$85799¢100¢+$4
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$79793¢98¢+$42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$79397¢99¢+$16
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?CryptoNo$73794¢96¢+$17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoNo$72598¢99¢+$5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$69393¢93¢-$5
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$64295¢99¢+$28
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?CryptoNo$63299¢100¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$63199¢99¢+$1
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$59798¢99¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceNo$56492¢89¢-$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$49885¢93¢+$50
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$52293¢97¢+$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$53399¢100¢+$1
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$516100¢100¢-$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$513100¢100¢+$1
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$47180¢86¢+$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$44775¢81¢+$35
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$46695¢96¢+$4
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$467100¢100¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$44190¢93¢+$10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?FinanceNo$41696¢98¢+$6
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoNo$39282¢87¢+$23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$40499¢99¢+$1
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$39499¢100¢+$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$36781¢83¢+$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$36996¢97¢+$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35399¢100¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?CryptoNo$33699¢100¢+$2
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?CryptoNo$32496¢98¢+$8
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$32999¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?CryptoNo$323100¢100¢+$1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?CryptoNo$29285¢93¢+$25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$31599¢99¢+$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$31392¢93¢+$3
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$30883¢84¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$30796¢97¢+$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$30991¢90¢-$3
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$30282¢82¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?CryptoNo$28399¢99¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?FinanceNo$276100¢100¢+$0
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$24693¢96¢+$9
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24199¢99¢+$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20698¢99¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$20599¢99¢+$1
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20099¢99¢+$1
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$198100¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$19298¢99¢+$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16779¢88¢+$19
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$17480¢83¢+$5
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$173100¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?CryptoNo$162100¢100¢+$0
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$15793¢96¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$13689¢88¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$13980¢78¢-$4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?CryptoNo$13499¢100¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$14274¢69¢-$11
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12898¢98¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tennis-$82K
World Cup-$31K
Politics-$25K
eSports+$15K
MLB-$11K
NBA+$8.6K
NHL-$7.3K
Crypto+$6.5K
Cricket+$5.3K
UFC / MMA-$5.2K
Finance+$2.3K
Boxing+$1.8K
Biggest hit
+$10K
Spurs vs. Thunder
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$437s ago
  • Bought No · Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?$51m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$41m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$131m ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$178m ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.6K8m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$59m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$159m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$510m ago
  • Bought No · Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$411m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$313m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1116m ago