 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$973 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | Yes | $2.8K | 9.3¢ | 6.2¢ | -$941 |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $1.4K | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$237 |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $1.6K | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$438 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $766 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $902 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$145 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 6.6¢ | 4.5¢ | -$322 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | -$720 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $484 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$49 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | Yes | $417 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$48 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $330 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$15 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Other | No | $309 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$5 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | No | $249 | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $210 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? eSports | Yes | $209 | 3.7¢ | 3.3¢ | -$24 |
| Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $165 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $517 | 70¢ | 21¢ | -$364 |
| Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $179 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$32 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026?Politics | Yes | $215 | 9.7¢ | 6.5¢ | -$71 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 34%-38%?Finance | Yes | $201 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$64 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Other | Yes | $133 | 34¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $111 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$7 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $110 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | Yes | $120 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
 California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPolitics | No | $103 | 44¢ | 47¢ | +$8 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$12 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | Yes | $137 | 10¢ | 7.4¢ | -$36 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $87 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$5 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Tech | No | $55 | 47¢ | 77¢ | +$35 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | Yes | $171 | 12¢ | 6.2¢ | -$83 |
 Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $84 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $268 | 7.8¢ | 2.5¢ | -$183 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $95 | 5.0¢ | 4.1¢ | -$17 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $52 | 49¢ | 67¢ | +$19 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | No | $112 | 42¢ | 25¢ | -$45 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?Politics | Yes | $68 | 2.8¢ | 2.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 6.5¢ | 5.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $100 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$43 |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $88 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$31 |
 Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $55 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Olympics | Yes | $110 | 4.7¢ | 2.4¢ | -$55 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 6.5¢ | 5.1¢ | -$15 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $50 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?Politics | Yes | $70 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$18 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $64 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$13 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.7% in June?Economy | No | $45 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $46 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$3 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | Yes | $76 | 6.4¢ | 3.9¢ | -$30 |
 Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $44 | 7.3¢ | 7.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $56 | 6.1¢ | 4.7¢ | -$13 |
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $54 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$12 |
| Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $39 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
 Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? eSports | Yes | $50 | 5.2¢ | 4.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $37 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $32 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$4 |
| Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventeSports | Yes | $68 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$33 |
| Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?Tech | No | $204 | 9.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$173 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $30 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $73 | 27¢ | 11¢ | -$43 |
 Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 5.9¢ | 3.9¢ | -$16 |
 Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $27 | 6.9¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $17 | 4.4¢ | 7.2¢ | +$11 |
 Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $27 | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$0 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 7.1¢ | 7.0¢ | -$0 |
 Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?Culture | Yes | $50 | 4.4¢ | 2.2¢ | -$25 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year?Politics | Yes | $66 | 7.3¢ | 2.8¢ | -$41 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $34 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $24 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $24 | 7.5¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $31 | 7.4¢ | 5.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $54 | 8.6¢ | 3.2¢ | -$34 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $24 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?Politics | No | $21 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 15¢ | 10¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $25 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$7 |
| Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $29 | 13¢ | 6.7¢ | -$14 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $17 | 8.6¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 6.2¢ | 2.5¢ | -$21 |
| Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $21 | 8.4¢ | 5.7¢ | -$7 |
| Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $21 | 5.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Economy | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 7.0¢ | 7.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 42%+?Finance | Yes | $76 | 20¢ | 3.1¢ | -$64 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $12 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?Culture | Yes | $42 | 4.7¢ | 1.3¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 6.2¢ | 1.7¢ | -$32 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $65 | 3.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$54 |
| Will Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $15 | 7.4¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 8.4¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 5.4¢ | -$9 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $15 | 70¢ | 44¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.4¢ | 8.0¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 6.8¢ | 5.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $29 | 6.0¢ | 1.9¢ | -$20 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Other sports | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $29 | 7.5¢ | 2.3¢ | -$21 |
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $14 | 5.7¢ | 3.5¢ | -$5 |