← Whale Watch

SmartBoyBilly

Predicting since Jul 2026783 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Finance markets since Jul 2026.

Right now: $2.2K across 18 Mentions markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?TechNo$1.1K94¢97¢+$37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$94094¢99¢+$55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?FinanceNo$43496¢99¢+$12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$38495¢99¢+$15
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$42096¢89¢-$29
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?TechYes$23258¢83¢+$100
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?FinanceNo$31696¢99¢+$9
Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$27991¢98¢+$18
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?CryptoNo$28294¢94¢-$2
Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$25590¢95¢+$14
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?TechYes$24060¢66¢+$24
Will MrBeast say "Lose" or "Loser" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$24291¢96¢+$14
Will MrBeast say "Best" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$24190¢96¢+$15
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?TechYes$34569¢47¢-$113
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$21992¢96¢+$10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?FinanceNo$21296¢97¢+$2
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?TechYes$35070¢42¢-$140
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$20089¢91¢+$4
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?TechYes$18847¢51¢+$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$14974¢100¢+$52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$19296¢99¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$18894¢99¢+$10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?FinanceNo$19296¢97¢+$1
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by July 31?FinanceNo$17179¢87¢+$16
Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$15790¢98¢+$13
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$17688¢84¢-$9
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?TechYes$24048¢33¢-$78
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$17085¢79¢-$12
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?FinanceYes$17535¢29¢-$30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$13065¢72¢+$14
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$13880¢82¢+$4
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$14669¢67¢-$5
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceYes$22267¢42¢-$84
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?FinanceNo$13668¢64¢-$8
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$13668¢62¢-$12
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?CryptoNo$10894¢96¢+$2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July?FinanceNo$10794¢97¢+$3
Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$10291¢96¢+$5
Will Sean O'Malley cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?eSportsNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will Viktor Blom cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?eSportsNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will MrBeast say "Dream" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$9591¢96¢+$5
Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$9492¢97¢+$5
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by July 31?FinanceNo$9696¢99¢+$3
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$9849¢49¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$8889¢97¢+$8
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31?FinanceYes$14529¢18¢-$56
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.25B?FinanceNo$8847¢48¢+$1
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?FinanceYes$9045¢43¢-$4
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$8470¢71¢+$1
Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$7878¢81¢+$3
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherYes$9978¢62¢-$21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechYes$7437¢38¢+$1
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?TechNo$7277¢79¢+$1
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?FinanceYes$12525¢14¢-$53
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$2941¢100¢+$41
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?EconomyYes$9246¢34¢-$23
Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September?eSportsYes$15681¢35¢-$88
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$7755¢48¢-$10
Will MrBeast say "Sword" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$6192¢98¢+$4
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31?FinanceYes$12024¢13¢-$58
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$7039¢34¢-$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$5577¢85¢+$5
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?EconomyNo$6075¢75¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$5792¢96¢+$2
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?CultureNo$8643¢30¢-$27
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?CultureNo$5771¢72¢+$1
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?FinanceYes$6464¢57¢-$7
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?PoliticsYes$6363¢57¢-$6
Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M?FinanceYes$3939¢56¢+$17
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $36B by July 31?FinanceNo$5496¢99¢+$2
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?FinanceNo$5994¢86¢-$5
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsNo$5229¢30¢+$1
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$4169¢86¢+$10
Will BGC Partners (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$3939¢51¢+$12
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $52.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$4996¢98¢+$1
Will MrBeast say "Farm" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$4792¢98¢+$3
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?FinanceNo$5454¢50¢-$5
Will MrBeast say "Darius" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$4589¢97¢+$4
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMANo$4666¢69¢+$2
Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?MentionsYes$4848¢48¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Race" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$4692¢95¢+$1
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$4646¢45¢-$2
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$4850¢46¢-$4
Will Jacqui Smith be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsNo$4195¢99¢+$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$4168¢69¢+$1
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?EconomyNo$3858¢63¢+$3
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?TechYes$922¢97¢+$30
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 12%-15%?FinanceNo$3263¢76¢+$7
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?FinanceYes$4545¢36¢-$10
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in July?FinanceNo$2977¢94¢+$6
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$3333¢34¢+$1
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in July?FinanceNo$3194¢97¢+$1
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$3294¢95¢+$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$4324¢18¢-$12
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$3588¢77¢-$5
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?FinanceYes$3636¢31¢-$6
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $19B?FinanceYes$4767¢44¢-$17
Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLNo$2767¢75¢+$3
Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?Other sportsNo$3178¢74¢-$1
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.5B?FinanceYes$3557¢48¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$1.2K
World Cup-$513
Politics-$314
Culture-$279
Tech+$182
eSports-$165
Golf+$149
NBA-$105
Mentions-$55
Weather+$53
Other-$47
NFL-$34
Biggest hit
+$163
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Toughest beat
-$127
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by July 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$402m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #1 US song this week?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #1 US song this week?$22h ago
  • MERGE Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$202h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$52h ago
  • Bought No · Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?$33h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$373h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$383h ago
  • Bought No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$03h ago
  • Bought No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$153h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$134h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$174h ago