 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $7.9K | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8.6K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$469 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.5K | 77¢ | 72¢ | -$504 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$2.2K |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $3.3K | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$78 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3.2K | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$413 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$809 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$728 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$441 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $2.0K | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$284 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $1.7K | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$150 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $971 | 49¢ | 94¢ | +$884 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$80 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$49 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $973 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$60 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $1.5K | 45¢ | 31¢ | -$478 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $503 | 32¢ | 63¢ | +$490 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $336 | 34¢ | 95¢ | +$612 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $547 | 37¢ | 62¢ | +$374 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 26¢ | +$850 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $720 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$118 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $804 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$34 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $746 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$57 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $674 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$115 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $760 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$37 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $721 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$10 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $769 | 57¢ | 52¢ | -$73 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $638 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$42 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $668 | 58¢ | 58¢ | -$5 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $841 | 53¢ | 40¢ | -$210 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $511 | 63¢ | 77¢ | +$109 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $291 | 37¢ | 69¢ | +$255 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $298 | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$226 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 13¢ | +$400 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $279 | 21¢ | 33¢ | +$145 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $331 | 49¢ | 62¢ | +$88 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 2.9¢ | 56¢ | +$320 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $208 | 28¢ | 42¢ | +$107 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $316 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $156 | 47¢ | 88¢ | +$132 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $217 | 5.8¢ | 7.2¢ | +$52 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $813 | 36¢ | 12¢ | -$544 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $214 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$19 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $63 | 24¢ | 88¢ | +$168 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $161 | 49¢ | 66¢ | +$55 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $188 | 29¢ | 33¢ | +$19 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | No | $613 | 51¢ | 16¢ | -$425 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $149 | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$31 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $113 | 35¢ | 45¢ | +$31 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $133 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 9.4¢ | 23¢ | +$78 |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | No | $118 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$11 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $61 | 38¢ | 80¢ | +$67 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 3.2¢ | +$83 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 20¢ | 54¢ | +$64 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 2.9¢ | +$71 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $137 | 66¢ | 47¢ | -$40 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 2.8¢ | +$68 |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $58 | 37¢ | 59¢ | +$35 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Politics | Yes | $77 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $45 | 6.9¢ | 14¢ | +$43 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $273 | 45¢ | 13¢ | -$197 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 2.1¢ | +$43 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | Yes | $70 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 22¢ | 56¢ | +$43 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $135 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$66 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | No | $685 | 36¢ | 3.4¢ | -$621 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$33 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$33 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 0.8¢ | 1.6¢ | +$29 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $2 | 1.1¢ | 28¢ | +$55 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | No | $65 | 60¢ | 51¢ | -$10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $97 | 66¢ | 37¢ | -$43 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $101 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$50 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $62 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $110 | 42¢ | 18¢ | -$63 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$12 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$11 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$6 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $41 | 12¢ | 9.1¢ | -$10 |
| Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $41 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$10 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $66 | 57¢ | 27¢ | -$35 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $22 | 3.0¢ | 4.3¢ | +$9 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $427 | 30¢ | 1.9¢ | -$399 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 3.7¢ | 8.1¢ | +$15 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$11 |
 Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $20 | 28¢ | 35¢ | +$5 |
 Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 4.4¢ | 5.9¢ | +$6 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | No | $91 | 10¢ | 2.3¢ | -$70 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$13 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Politics | Yes | $17 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | No | $9 | 4.2¢ | 7.2¢ | +$6 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $37 | 14¢ | 5.7¢ | -$23 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?Politics | No | $15 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$12820h ago