 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $7.9K | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$1.8K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.2K | 58¢ | 79¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $5.6K | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$805 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$387 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3.2K | 43¢ | 54¢ | +$789 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3.7K | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$356 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $3.0K | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$287 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $3.8K | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$980 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 65¢ | 96¢ | +$855 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5.8K | 39¢ | 17¢ | -$3.3K |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$783 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$291 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$162 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 71¢ | 85¢ | +$344 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$806 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.7K | 70¢ | 48¢ | -$836 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$119 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $545 | 34¢ | 90¢ | +$890 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $503 | 32¢ | 84¢ | +$824 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.1K | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$22 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | No | $753 | 41¢ | 59¢ | +$331 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $997 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$75 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 30¢ | +$987 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 55¢ | 27¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $943 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $769 | 57¢ | 67¢ | +$130 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $783 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$113 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $746 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$149 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $850 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$292 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $529 | 37¢ | 52¢ | +$207 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $514 | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$219 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $638 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$80 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $471 | 32¢ | 48¢ | +$228 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $448 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$238 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $760 | 72¢ | 64¢ | -$87 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $583 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$86 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $262 | 23¢ | 56¢ | +$389 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $630 | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | No | $510 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$116 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $291 | 37¢ | 78¢ | +$322 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $540 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$45 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $492 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$82 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $403 | 43¢ | 60¢ | +$151 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $491 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$21 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $444 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$67 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $462 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $387 | 36¢ | 46¢ | +$108 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $422 | 48¢ | 55¢ | +$62 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $339 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$118 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $713 | 56¢ | 35¢ | -$267 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $376 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$62 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $485 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$50 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $409 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $468 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$37 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 12¢ | +$366 |
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $317 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$12 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $316 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $220 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$79 |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | No | $118 | 27¢ | 67¢ | +$175 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $279 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$2 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $668 | 58¢ | 24¢ | -$394 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $209 | 56¢ | 74¢ | +$65 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $760 | 61¢ | 22¢ | -$488 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $79 | 11¢ | 39¢ | +$193 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $400 | 80¢ | 54¢ | -$133 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $155 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$112 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $199 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$61 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $194 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$65 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $208 | 28¢ | 35¢ | +$51 |
 Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $215 | 68¢ | 79¢ | +$34 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $214 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$30 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $163 | 62¢ | 90¢ | +$74 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 6.5¢ | 24¢ | +$162 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 5.9¢ | +$173 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $122 | 55¢ | 90¢ | +$77 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 39¢ | 80¢ | +$100 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | No | $108 | 54¢ | 93¢ | +$77 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $135 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$40 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $118 | 38¢ | 53¢ | +$45 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $337 | 48¢ | 23¢ | -$181 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | No | $79 | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$76 |
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $150 | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Culture | No | $167 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$20 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $110 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$35 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | No | $136 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$6 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Politics | Yes | $222 | 52¢ | 31¢ | -$92 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $813 | 36¢ | 5.5¢ | -$689 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $45 | 32¢ | 86¢ | +$76 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $324 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | -$205 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 20¢ | 62¢ | +$80 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $94 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$21 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $108 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$6 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $67 | 40¢ | 61¢ | +$34 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.8¢ | 2.9¢ | +$72 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $217 | 5.8¢ | 2.5¢ | -$122 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $39 | 28¢ | 62¢ | +$47 |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Politics | No | $262 | 51¢ | 17¢ | -$177 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$34 |
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