← Whale Watch

CompulsiveGambler

Predicting since Nov 20201,452 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.3K on Politics markets since Nov 2020.

Right now: $7.9K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on $BTC dips below $45k before August?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$6.0K86¢88¢+$124
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.0K97¢99¢+$145
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.1K71¢69¢-$159
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K35¢50¢+$1.1K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$3.1K83¢87¢+$152
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K82¢91¢+$298
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K57¢56¢-$87
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K94¢93¢-$16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K90¢95¢+$105
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K70¢71¢+$23
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K91¢95¢+$80
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K75¢90¢+$301
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K80¢85¢+$101
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyNo$1.5K80¢84¢+$68
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K86¢91¢+$79
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K85¢86¢+$6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$79865¢91¢+$311
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$88889¢92¢+$27
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$82478¢82¢+$37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$82461¢56¢-$65
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$53266¢85¢+$147
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$77958¢49¢-$120
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$60871¢76¢+$38
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechNo$65172¢71¢-$12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$60990¢93¢+$20
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$55766¢63¢-$27
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?EconomyNo$45782¢93¢+$61
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$44578¢87¢+$51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$47595¢99¢+$21
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$53159¢53¢-$58
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$38979¢95¢+$75
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$33174¢93¢+$84
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$35488¢93¢+$19
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41038¢33¢-$58
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$32087¢92¢+$20
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30790¢93¢+$7
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$28592¢93¢+$2
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$16625¢41¢+$98
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$20869¢85¢+$46
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$25093¢93¢+$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$22675¢79¢+$12
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?PoliticsNo$21275¢84¢+$24
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsYes$25660¢55¢-$23
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$20769¢78¢+$25
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$18580¢94¢+$32
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$20585¢86¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$18090¢99¢+$19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?FinanceNo$15879¢99¢+$39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?FinanceNo$12462¢97¢+$70
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$15678¢96¢+$36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$18291¢95¢+$7
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$17286¢94¢+$15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2527.4¢5.1¢-$77
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$14271¢82¢+$22
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16482¢80¢-$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$16683¢80¢-$7
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$14673¢76¢+$5
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$7839¢75¢+$71
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?TechNo$13689¢90¢+$1
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13128¢26¢-$10
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$13126¢24¢-$13
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsYes$6934¢56¢+$42
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?PoliticsNo$10285¢86¢+$1
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsNo$10773¢67¢-$9
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$8989¢98¢+$8
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$8080¢97¢+$17
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?PoliticsNo$9393¢96¢+$3
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7782¢95¢+$12
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$8088¢98¢+$9
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?TechNo$8787¢88¢+$1
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$9313¢12¢-$6
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8290¢93¢+$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$63888¢12¢-$554
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$9494¢83¢-$11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$5582¢95¢+$9
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?PoliticsNo$7980¢63¢-$17
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsNo$7251¢45¢-$9
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$9494¢58¢-$36
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsYes$4123¢32¢+$15
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$9323¢13¢-$43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$6330¢23¢-$16
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8227¢11¢-$50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$2483¢99¢+$5
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1763¢90¢+$7
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?PoliticsNo$2292¢95¢+$1
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?PoliticsYes$48.0¢25¢+$9
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1086¢96¢+$1
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?PoliticsNo$986¢91¢+$1
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?PoliticsYes$55.0¢8.8¢+$4
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?TechYes$516¢26¢+$3
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$12712¢0.4¢-$122
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyNo$361¢88¢+$1
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?PoliticsYes$44.0¢3.9¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$373¢97¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2222¢3.3¢-$19
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$216¢22¢+$1
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$326¢15¢-$1
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?PoliticsYesResolved$81281¢0.0¢-$812
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?FinanceNoResolved$51878¢0.0¢-$518

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.3K
Finance-$2.3K
Tech+$546
Crypto+$539
Economy+$432
Mentions+$431
Culture+$251
Other+$158
Other sports-$51
Weather+$2
World Cup-$1
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
$BTC dips below $45k before August?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
$BTC dips below $45k before August?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$3354h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1685h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?$305h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$375h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1187h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1207h ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$167h ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$2907h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?$258h ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$3378h ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$32512h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$15812h ago