 Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8.4K | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$95 |
 Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7.8K | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$329 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $6.0K | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$369 |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4.4K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$214 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.8K | 70¢ | 53¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3.0K | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$586 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $3.1K | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$190 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$31 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $2.4K | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$59 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 74¢ | 65¢ | -$304 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $2.0K | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$135 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $988 | 42¢ | 89¢ | +$1.1K |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$19 |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $1.2K | 67¢ | 96¢ | +$503 |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$175 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $1.3K | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$231 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 57¢ | 61¢ | +$94 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $617 | 61¢ | 82¢ | +$210 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $738 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$47 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?Politics | No | $686 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$81 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $816 | 71¢ | 65¢ | -$75 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Politics | No | $717 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$22 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $95 | 4.8¢ | 36¢ | +$626 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $580 | 58¢ | 67¢ | +$85 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $477 | 69¢ | 91¢ | +$150 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $750 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$157 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?Politics | No | $553 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $406 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$101 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?Tech | No | $411 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Politics | No | $335 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$64 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $320 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$26 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $377 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$32 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $270 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$30 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $208 | 69¢ | 94¢ | +$72 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $237 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $210 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$52 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | No | $180 | 61¢ | 87¢ | +$77 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | No | $235 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | No | $209 | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$44 |
 Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?Politics | Yes | $282 | 65¢ | 57¢ | -$33 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $185 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$29 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $209 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $252 | 7.4¢ | 5.7¢ | -$60 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $173 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$19 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $172 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$19 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $181 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $171 | 57¢ | 61¢ | +$11 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | No | $167 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $146 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$33 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $142 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$36 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $171 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $78 | 39¢ | 83¢ | +$87 |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Politics | No | $138 | 69¢ | 77¢ | +$16 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $139 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$10 |
 Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $144 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 73¢ | 97¢ | +$37 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $152 | 12¢ | 9.4¢ | -$33 |
 Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Politics | No | $127 | 64¢ | 60¢ | -$8 |
 Will Republicans win 12–13% of the Black vote?Politics | No | $130 | 86¢ | 78¢ | -$14 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $385 | 36¢ | 11¢ | -$274 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 66¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
| Will Republicans win 14–15% of the Black vote?Politics | No | $97 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 86¢ | -$8 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?Politics | No | $79 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $118 | 28¢ | 19¢ | -$39 |
| Will Republicans win 18% or more of the Black vote?Politics | No | $68 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $55 | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 56¢ | -$38 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Politics | No | $49 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $638 | 88¢ | 7.0¢ | -$587 |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Politics | Yes | $55 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$7 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $32 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$9 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $39 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | Yes | $246 | 82¢ | 10¢ | -$215 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 34¢ | 51¢ | +$10 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?Politics | Yes | $34 | 34¢ | 26¢ | -$8 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?Politics | No | $22 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Politics | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ | 39¢ | +$16 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Tech | Yes | $88 | 59¢ | 10¢ | -$73 |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Politics | No | $11 | 60¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?Politics | No | $11 | 60¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 10¢ | +$5 |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 41¢ | +$3 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?Tech | Yes | $17 | 18¢ | 7.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.8¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 73¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $127 | 12¢ | 0.3¢ | -$124 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?$134m ago