← Whale Watch

siick

Predicting since Aug 20231,699 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $30K on UFC / MMA markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $8.9K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.3K on Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$6.0K86¢88¢+$150
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5.0K67¢82¢+$1.1K
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.4K78¢87¢+$527
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.6K94¢95¢+$84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K65¢79¢+$697
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.8K93¢93¢+$4
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K92¢91¢-$45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.1K35¢43¢+$464
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K91¢94¢+$75
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$2.1K79¢84¢+$136
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BoxingNo$1.7K75¢90¢+$353
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.7K2.5¢2.9¢+$257
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.0K4.3¢8.3¢+$925
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K93¢95¢+$40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.4K59¢44¢-$620
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K30¢32¢+$82
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$2.3K91¢58¢-$824
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9253.7¢4.9¢+$288
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$28713¢43¢+$696
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$94275¢78¢+$29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6811.1¢1.6¢+$278
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1.4K64¢42¢-$477
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?PoliticsNo$72079¢96¢+$158
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$63442¢56¢+$205
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$80665¢67¢+$30
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$82695¢96¢+$10
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$49356¢80¢+$209
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$62348¢48¢-$6
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?PoliticsNo$47290¢96¢+$29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$75457¢37¢-$263
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$28530¢48¢+$166
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$44378¢77¢-$6
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$37283¢95¢+$56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$36724¢27¢+$48
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsYes$87038¢18¢-$471
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$36788¢95¢+$27
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsNo$31679¢89¢+$40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$33796¢99¢+$11
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$40183¢67¢-$80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$26638¢45¢+$49
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?PoliticsNo$31086¢86¢-$2
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$30591¢92¢+$2
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$23728¢35¢+$68
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?PoliticsNo$22581¢99¢+$50
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$27470¢53¢-$69
Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next?UFC / MMAYes$18422¢24¢+$18
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$17647¢48¢+$4
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?PoliticsNo$17091¢95¢+$7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16764¢65¢+$1
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$14954¢61¢+$19
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13385¢97¢+$19
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsNo$11774¢90¢+$25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsYes$33034¢14¢-$188
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$18854¢39¢-$50
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsYes$37078¢28¢-$240
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?UFC / MMAYes$13954¢51¢-$10
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?PoliticsYes$7131¢50¢+$43
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsYes$9543¢51¢+$17
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?PoliticsNo$13467¢50¢-$34
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$8282¢94¢+$12
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2601.3¢0.4¢-$170
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$6213¢17¢+$21
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$199.3¢41¢+$64
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?PoliticsNo$6883¢97¢+$11
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?UFC / MMAYes$5960¢67¢+$7
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$5765¢70¢+$4
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$6193¢93¢-$0
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?PoliticsYes$24915¢3.1¢-$198
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$2630¢34¢+$3
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$2178¢96¢+$5
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$12292¢18¢-$98
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1615¢18¢+$4
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1468¢89¢+$4
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?UFC / MMANo$1564¢71¢+$2
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$64.0¢8.9¢+$8
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1064¢79¢+$2
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$850¢78¢+$4
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$181.0¢0.5¢-$8
Will Volkan Oezdemir be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$996¢100¢+$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$152.2¢0.9¢-$9
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?PoliticsYes$27.5¢16¢+$2
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?UFC / MMAYes$15319¢0.5¢-$149
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsYes$862¢27¢-$5
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureYes$843¢14¢-$5
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$157¢86¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$247¢32¢-$1
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$35.0¢2.5¢-$1
Fight to Go the Distance?UFC / MMAYesResolved$517.0¢0.0¢-$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$7048¢0.0¢-$70
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2505.0¢0.0¢-$250
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K16¢0.0¢-$1.5K
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$732.9¢0.0¢-$73
Ducks vs. CanucksNHLDucksResolved$86558¢0.0¢-$865
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1211.2¢0.0¢-$121
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAAlexander HernandezResolved$52052¢0.0¢-$520
Will Carlos Ulberg win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMANoResolved$32566¢0.0¢-$325
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$3505.0¢0.0¢-$350
Fight to Go the Distance?UFC / MMAYesResolved$637¢0.0¢-$6
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K39¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$39534¢0.0¢-$395

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

UFC / MMA-$30K
Finance-$14K
Crypto-$14K
Politics+$11K
NHL-$10.0K
NBA-$8.0K
Culture-$3.4K
Mentions+$1.4K
World Cup-$1.0K
Tech-$681
Economy+$530
Boxing+$406
Biggest hit
+$5.3K
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Toughest beat
-$5.3K
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$164h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1907h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?$1057h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$768h ago
  • Bought No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$82610h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$62312h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?$23512h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?$10312h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?$31012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$24012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$77412h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.1K12h ago