← Whale Watch

serferer

Predicting since Mar 2026178 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.8K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $4.0K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K63¢56¢-$332
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K81¢89¢+$188
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K76¢76¢-$14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K71¢76¢+$88
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.4K88¢91¢+$38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K75¢80¢+$67
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K71¢60¢-$174
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$82240¢44¢+$80
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$79987¢89¢+$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$60869¢81¢+$108
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$66866¢71¢+$44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$63186¢88¢+$14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$62741¢40¢-$28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$39149¢65¢+$121
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$42664¢69¢+$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$30543¢64¢+$143
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30694¢95¢+$3
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$30094¢96¢+$7
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?PoliticsNo$31149¢48¢-$11
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$48743¢21¢-$257
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16679¢90¢+$23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19681¢73¢-$21
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$14950¢50¢-$1
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2278¢91¢+$4
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1568¢71¢+$1
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$1590¢90¢-$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsNo$586¢90¢+$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$23464¢0.0¢-$234
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$23025¢0.0¢-$230
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?PoliticsNoResolved$23359¢0.0¢-$233
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8721¢0.0¢-$87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$75070¢0.0¢-$750
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$29065¢0.0¢-$290
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1122¢0.0¢-$11
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$76852¢0.0¢-$768
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$9856¢0.0¢-$98
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K61¢0.0¢-$1.1K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.8K
UFC / MMA+$981
World Cup-$98
Other sports-$22
Biggest hit
+$981
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Toughest beat
-$857
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$2862h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$193h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$255h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23015h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$21716h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$28617h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1318h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$718h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$3419h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$2419h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$71d ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$751d ago