← Whale Watch

Logan.

Predicting since Nov 20242,205 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $22K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $15K across 6 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$11K on Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$15K53¢100¢+$13K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K58¢66¢+$360
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$1948.1¢100¢+$2.2K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K47¢79¢+$793
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.5K34¢24¢-$747
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K71¢79¢+$159
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$39021¢85¢+$1.2K
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K23¢21¢-$156
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1895.7¢27¢+$702
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$31831¢81¢+$506
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K21¢8.5¢-$1.2K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.7K32¢5.5¢-$3.1K
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$27350¢99¢+$271
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$69726¢21¢-$153
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$622.1¢16¢+$395
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4342.4¢2.4¢-$8
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$5794.7¢3.4¢-$159
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢20¢+$380
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K40¢13¢-$846
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$54725¢17¢-$170
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$41875¢62¢-$69
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1182.4¢5.1¢+$139
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$48410¢4.3¢-$276
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$932.3¢5.1¢+$110
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$23624¢18¢-$54
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$200.3¢2.9¢+$156
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3970.8¢0.4¢-$233
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$14497¢100¢+$4
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1348.5¢8.5¢+$1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$14070¢56¢-$27
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢1.1¢+$75
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1210.8¢0.7¢-$20
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.9¢+$65
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$7303.5¢0.4¢-$635
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$300.3¢0.9¢+$63
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$5459¢92¢+$29
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.8¢+$43
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.8¢+$43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$940.8¢0.7¢-$18
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.7¢+$33
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$270.3¢0.8¢+$38
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.5¢+$22
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.5¢+$22
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.5¢+$22
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12118¢8.5¢-$65
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K16¢0.7¢-$1.2K
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$210.3¢0.8¢+$30
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.4¢+$12
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢2.4¢+$34
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$87029¢1.5¢-$826
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢2.1¢+$29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢2.1¢+$29
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$654.3¢2.8¢-$23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$2364.0¢0.7¢-$197
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.4¢+$1
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.4¢+$1
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.4¢+$1
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$350.3¢0.4¢+$1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$280.9¢1.1¢+$6
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?TechNo$5468¢41¢-$22
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢1.6¢+$18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$68513¢0.5¢-$656
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.3¢-$9
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.3¢-$9
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.3¢-$9
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$300.3¢0.3¢-$6
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$84.3¢12¢+$15
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$70.7¢2.3¢+$15
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$190.3¢0.4¢+$1
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.9¢+$6
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1374¢96¢+$4
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.1¢-$20
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.1¢-$20
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.1¢-$20
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.1¢-$20
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$360.3¢0.1¢-$20
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.7¢-$0
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.7¢-$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.5¢-$2
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.5¢-$2
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.5¢-$2
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.5¢-$2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$70.7¢1.1¢+$3
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$7625¢3.1¢-$67
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.4¢-$4
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1348.5¢0.5¢-$125
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$70.7¢0.9¢+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$10426¢2.1¢-$96
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$892¢93¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$1.4K27¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$60.3¢0.4¢+$3
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.4¢-$6
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.4¢-$6
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.4¢-$6
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.4¢-$6
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.4¢-$6
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$127.2¢3.4¢-$6
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$833¢24¢-$2
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBAYes$44313¢0.1¢-$438
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.3¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$22K
NBA+$14K
Mentions-$1.8K
Tennis-$1.7K
Culture-$1.4K
UFC / MMA-$767
Other+$753
Economy+$735
Tech+$477
Other sports-$415
NFL-$307
MLB+$123
Biggest hit
+$11K
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Toughest beat
-$5.7K
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner AND Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$452d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$2792d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$4042d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4923d ago
  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2613d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$113d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago