← Whale Watch

1nvoker1

Predicting since Nov 2025684 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.9K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $4.2K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.1K on Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$4.2K56¢56¢+$22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.8K76¢81¢+$211
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K74¢73¢-$103
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K52¢56¢+$165
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K64¢77¢+$245
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K68¢80¢+$181
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$85371¢87¢+$192
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$75012¢17¢+$240
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$84584¢91¢+$60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$78879¢88¢+$87
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$99473¢57¢-$215
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$70361¢60¢-$18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$64280¢86¢+$42
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$56961¢71¢+$87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49264¢81¢+$137
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$77270¢56¢-$151
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$56481¢86¢+$34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$54439¢40¢+$12
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$45069¢83¢+$88
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$39679¢88¢+$41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$34272¢89¢+$79
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsNo$34882¢91¢+$38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$32565¢76¢+$53
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$66511¢5.5¢-$335
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$51618¢12¢-$195
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$26938¢38¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63418¢7.5¢-$371
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$18770¢88¢+$47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$4749.6¢4.5¢-$252
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3309.2¢5.5¢-$133
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$4546.3¢2.6¢-$266
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1557.8¢7.5¢-$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$857.8¢14¢+$64
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$13968¢69¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$5022.4¢0.7¢-$364
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$12690¢95¢+$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9045¢65¢+$39
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$14228¢26¢-$13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1084.2¢4.9¢+$18
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$14536¢32¢-$19
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$1296.4¢4.1¢-$47
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$873.4¢2.8¢-$17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$7726¢22¢-$12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$616.1¢5.6¢-$5
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$6645¢38¢-$11
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$5046¢49¢+$3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$832.2¢1.3¢-$36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$154.6¢8.5¢+$13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$471.2¢0.7¢-$20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$161.1¢1.1¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$59.0¢23¢+$8
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1181¢88¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$70.5¢0.6¢+$2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$201.2¢0.4¢-$15
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsYes$352.2¢0.3¢-$30
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$590¢94¢+$0
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$220.2¢0.1¢-$18
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1816¢2.1¢-$15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1904.2¢0.1¢-$188
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$350¢42¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$01.7¢9.3¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$5.9K
Crypto-$805
Other sports-$638
Finance-$420
Tech-$188
Culture+$78
Weather+$76
eSports+$61
NFL+$45
Economy+$43
Mentions+$32
World Cup-$25
Biggest hit
+$2.1K
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Toughest beat
-$4.1K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$188m ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$4043m ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$921h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.6K2h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2572h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$22h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1342h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3902h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$502h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$102h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1382h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1443h ago