Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $446K | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$16K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $243K | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$69K |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $255K | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$4.5K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $84K | 71¢ | 57¢ | -$16K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $46K | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$5.1K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $46K | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$3.7K |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $46K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1.6K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $42K | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$4.0K |
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $32K | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$322 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $26K | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$2.3K |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $22K | 71¢ | 93¢ | +$6.6K |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | No | $23K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$429 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $35K | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$13K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $21K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$425 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $17K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$91 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $16K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$196 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$733 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $12K | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$1.5K |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$1.5K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $10K | 68¢ | 79¢ | +$1.7K |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $12K | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$148 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $9.1K | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$787 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8.7K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$112 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24K | 11¢ | 4.0¢ | -$15K |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $6.8K | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$724 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.8K | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$636 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6.4K | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$364 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6.6K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$56 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $4.6K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$109 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$497 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 45¢ | 89¢ | +$2.2K |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$145 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$729 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 82¢ | +$3.4K |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$386 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$527 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 71¢ | 88¢ | +$596 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $3.0K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.6K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$219 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 3.6¢ | 3.0¢ | -$330 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1.6K | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$144 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$145 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$124 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$17 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $767 | 4.1¢ | 4.8¢ | +$119 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $656 | 6.1¢ | 7.5¢ | +$148 |
Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 8.6¢ | 5.5¢ | -$452 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 4.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$1.9K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $36K | 31¢ | 0.7¢ | -$35K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $767 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$43 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 2.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2.0K |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $981 | 1.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$544 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | Yes | $419 | 1.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$10 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $514 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$95 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | Yes | $871 | 1.3¢ | 0.5¢ | -$506 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | Yes | $436 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$82 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $348 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $481 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$172 |
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 4.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3.0K |
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.8K | 3.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3.6K |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $259 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$22 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $208 | 3.6¢ | 3.6¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | Yes | $363 | 1.7¢ | 0.8¢ | -$195 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $170 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$80 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $41 | 4.3¢ | 9.0¢ | +$44 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 1.1¢ | +$27 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $19 | 3.3¢ | 3.4¢ | +$0 |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 1.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$10 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $626 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$619 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$27 |
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$18 |
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$18 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $5.3K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.3K |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $8.4K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.4K |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $207 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$207 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $227 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$227 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $544 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$544 |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $118K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118K |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPolitics | YesResolved | $232 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$232 |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $73 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $922 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$922 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $146 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $367 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$367 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6.3K | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.3K |
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $7.3K | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.3K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.7K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Politics | YesResolved | $61K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61K |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.8K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |