← Whale Watch

anoin123

Predicting since Dec 2025595 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.1M on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $506K across 23 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$349K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$446K93¢97¢+$16K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$243K71¢92¢+$69K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$255K82¢81¢-$4.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$84K71¢57¢-$16K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$46K83¢92¢+$5.1K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$46K78¢84¢+$3.7K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$46K96¢99¢+$1.6K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$42K75¢82¢+$4.0K
Iran coup attempt by December 31?PoliticsNo$32K88¢88¢-$322
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$26K68¢74¢+$2.3K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$22K71¢93¢+$6.6K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$23K93¢95¢+$429
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$35K20¢13¢-$13K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$21K86¢85¢-$425
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$17K95¢96¢+$91
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$16K98¢99¢+$196
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16K88¢93¢+$733
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$12K82¢92¢+$1.5K
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$11K50¢56¢+$1.5K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$10K68¢79¢+$1.7K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$12K76¢77¢+$148
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$9.1K26¢28¢+$787
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8.7K97¢98¢+$112
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$24K11¢4.0¢-$15K
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.8K72¢80¢+$724
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.8K75¢81¢+$636
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6.4K30¢32¢+$364
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6.6K89¢90¢+$56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.6K97¢99¢+$109
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.0K24¢27¢+$497
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K45¢89¢+$2.2K
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$4.2K38¢37¢-$145
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K13¢17¢+$729
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢82¢+$3.4K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.6K14¢13¢-$386
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsYes$3.6K13¢12¢-$527
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.5K71¢88¢+$596
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$3.0K100¢100¢+$2
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2.6K98¢98¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K23¢21¢-$219
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsYes$2.1K3.6¢3.0¢-$330
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1.6K61¢67¢+$144
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.9K7.0¢6.5¢-$145
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K59¢65¢+$124
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.1K24¢24¢-$17
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$7674.1¢4.8¢+$119
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsYes$6566.1¢7.5¢+$148
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K8.6¢5.5¢-$452
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.7K4.4¢1.3¢-$1.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$36K31¢0.7¢-$35K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$7679.0¢8.5¢-$43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K2.7¢0.7¢-$2.0K
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$9811.5¢0.7¢-$544
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$4191.8¢1.8¢+$10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5148.0¢6.5¢-$95
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$8711.3¢0.5¢-$506
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$43624¢20¢-$82
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$348100¢100¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$4817.0¢4.5¢-$172
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3.2K4.7¢0.4¢-$3.0K
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3.8K3.5¢0.3¢-$3.6K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$2596.0¢5.5¢-$22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2083.6¢3.6¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$3631.7¢0.8¢-$195
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1700.7¢0.4¢-$80
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?PoliticsYes$414.3¢9.0¢+$44
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢1.1¢+$27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$193.3¢3.4¢+$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.4¢-$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$251.3¢0.8¢-$10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$6264.2¢0.1¢-$619
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$340.8¢0.1¢-$27
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$14
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$14
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$14
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$14
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$14
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$443¢44¢+$0
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$18
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210.5¢0.1¢-$18
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$5.3K32¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K32¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechNoResolved$8.4K15¢0.0¢-$8.4K
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$2070.5¢0.0¢-$207
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2273.0¢0.0¢-$227
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5442.4¢0.0¢-$544
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$118K65¢0.0¢-$118K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$1331.5¢0.0¢-$133
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$23262¢0.0¢-$232
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$730.5¢0.0¢-$73
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9221.8¢0.0¢-$922
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1461.4¢0.0¢-$146
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3671.1¢0.0¢-$367
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$6.3K4.7¢0.0¢-$6.3K
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$7.3K9.8¢0.0¢-$7.3K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K6.1¢0.0¢-$1.6K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K19¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?PoliticsYesResolved$61K18¢0.0¢-$61K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.8K15¢0.0¢-$2.8K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.1M
Tech+$100K
Boxing-$46K
NFL-$43K
Economy-$31K
Weather+$29K
Culture-$9.8K
Other sports+$665
NBA+$655
Biggest hit
+$349K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.6M
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$76719m ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$036m ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by September 30?$1241m ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by September 30?$2242m ago
  • Bought Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$751m ago
  • Bought Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1255m ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought Yes · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?$701h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$631h ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$42h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$2852h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$163h ago