 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $138K | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$6.5K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $72K | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$11K |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $53K | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$11K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $45K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$3.0K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $49K | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$6.3K |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $40K | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$403 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $34K | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$6.4K |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $34K | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$4.1K |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $37K | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$648 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $34K | 76¢ | 79¢ | +$1.1K |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $32K | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$2.8K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24K | 29¢ | 41¢ | +$9.8K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $25K | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$5.2K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22K | 51¢ | 67¢ | +$6.4K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $23K | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$4.2K |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $30K | 52¢ | 46¢ | -$3.2K |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21K | 66¢ | 83¢ | +$5.1K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $25K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$997 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $20K | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$4.1K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $15K | 25¢ | 41¢ | +$9.0K |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $23K | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$150 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $13K | 14¢ | 22¢ | +$6.6K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $15K | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$2.8K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $23K | 59¢ | 46¢ | -$5.3K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $15K | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$2.4K |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $14K | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$3.1K |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $16K | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$632 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8.6K | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$7.9K |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $4.4K | 29¢ | 97¢ | +$10K |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $12K | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$2.2K |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $13K | 44¢ | 49¢ | +$1.2K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12K | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$1.9K |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12K | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$1.6K |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $11K | 47¢ | 54¢ | +$1.6K |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Tech | No | $12K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$256 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $8.8K | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$2.7K |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5.8K | 48¢ | 92¢ | +$5.3K |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $11K | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$115 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $11K | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$64 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $36K | 19¢ | 5.5¢ | -$26K |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10K | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$147 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8.2K | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$321 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14K | 46¢ | 28¢ | -$5.4K |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $7.6K | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$863 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $5.9K | 45¢ | 63¢ | +$2.4K |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8.1K | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$124 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.3K | 63¢ | 78¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $10K | 75¢ | 55¢ | -$2.7K |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8.5K | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$1.4K |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?Politics | No | $7.1K | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$171 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19K | 60¢ | 22¢ | -$12K |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $6.3K | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$452 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $3.8K | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$2.8K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $6.9K | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$418 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8.1K | 65¢ | 52¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $7.8K | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$1.5K |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | No | $6.3K | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$26 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $5.2K | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$511 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $5.9K | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$344 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.8K | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$500 |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | No | $4.0K | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$1.1K |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $6.3K | 35¢ | 28¢ | -$1.4K |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $3.9K | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$1.1K |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $5.0K | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$37 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $5.0K | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$115 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.4K | 45¢ | 49¢ | +$418 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $4.4K | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$273 |
 Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $4.5K | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$29 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $6.4K | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$2.6K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24K | 11¢ | 1.8¢ | -$20K |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $4.4K | 73¢ | 61¢ | -$738 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.8K | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$188 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $3.6K | 62¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.5K | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$32 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $4.1K | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$631 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3.4K | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$34 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$125 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?Politics | No | $3.5K | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$148 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 73¢ | 59¢ | -$766 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 71¢ | 91¢ | +$683 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 1.8¢ | 83¢ | +$3.1K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $4.3K | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$694 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $3.0K | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$38 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$3.1K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.9K | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$21 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $2.8K | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$100 |
 Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 40¢ | 33¢ | -$600 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3.0K | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$317 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 39¢ | 47¢ | +$404 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $2.4K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$100 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4.1K | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $2.1K | 67¢ | 76¢ | +$281 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $1.5K | 35¢ | 54¢ | +$791 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$781 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $1.8K | 31¢ | 39¢ | +$419 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.8K | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$371 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $2.1K | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$21 |
Bought Yes · Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$71m ago