 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $553 | 45¢ | 39¢ | -$77 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | No | $350 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$50 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $25 | 15¢ | 62¢ | +$78 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $40 | 40¢ | 83¢ | +$43 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Tech | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 34¢ | +$37 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $70 | 56¢ | 48¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $91 | 61¢ | 34¢ | -$40 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 54¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | -$46 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 26¢ | 41¢ | +$8 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $15 | 45¢ | 66¢ | +$7 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 63¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 57¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | No | $15 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $15 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 97¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 28¢ | 7.5¢ | -$37 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $15 | 40¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 16¢ | 3.2¢ | -$48 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $140 | 16¢ | 1.3¢ | -$129 |
 Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $15 | 64¢ | 38¢ | -$6 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 45¢ | 20¢ | -$9 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 63¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 6.3¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 20¢ | 0.8¢ | -$77 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 65¢ | 12¢ | -$12 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 24?Crypto | NoResolved | $15 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 9?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 20?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 9?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 13?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 8?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 10?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Cashed out Yes · Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?$345d ago
Sold No · Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?$48d ago