 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6.9K | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$269 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $7.2K | 71¢ | 50¢ | -$2.1K |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $4.1K | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$787 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $3.6K | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$775 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $3.3K | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$331 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 60¢ | 41¢ | -$1.2K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.9K | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$266 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$382 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $3.0K | 50¢ | 27¢ | -$1.4K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$128 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $787 | 48¢ | 72¢ | +$384 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $860 | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$220 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $766 | 34¢ | 47¢ | +$289 |
 Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?Culture | No | $550 | 54¢ | 97¢ | +$439 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $758 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$195 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $914 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$24 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $371 | 37¢ | 94¢ | +$558 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $819 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$89 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$774 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $720 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$8 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $644 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $576 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $586 | 67¢ | 67¢ | -$8 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $823 | 3.9¢ | 2.6¢ | -$266 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $400 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$25 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Economy | No | $415 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $380 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $105 | 31¢ | 95¢ | +$219 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $418 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$97 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $222 | 44¢ | 62¢ | +$88 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $343 | 57¢ | 50¢ | -$44 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $171 | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$87 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $290 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$37 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $454 | 38¢ | 21¢ | -$208 |
| US recession by end of 2027?Economy | No | $207 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$25 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $159 | 40¢ | 53¢ | +$52 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $250 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$39 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$17 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $451 | 45¢ | 18¢ | -$275 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $427 | 28¢ | 11¢ | -$265 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$25 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | Yes | $168 | 17¢ | 9.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $574 | 3.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$502 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $79 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 48¢ | 35¢ | -$28 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $135 | 34¢ | 17¢ | -$66 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $83 | 47¢ | 37¢ | -$17 |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Culture | Yes | $10 | 4.9¢ | 30¢ | +$53 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Economy | No | $62 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 13¢ | 39¢ | +$38 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $49 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Culture | No | $91 | 73¢ | 33¢ | -$50 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?Economy | No | $31 | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $29 | 32¢ | 38¢ | +$5 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $29 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $44 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $99 | 66¢ | 19¢ | -$71 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 41¢ | 23¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $21 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 30?Tech | No | $25 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$4 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $47 | 62¢ | 23¢ | -$30 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $10 | 52¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $6 | 52¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Other | Yes | $64 | 22¢ | 2.3¢ | -$57 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $27 | 1.1¢ | 0.3¢ | -$21 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 31¢ | 2.8¢ | -$62 |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Tech | Anthropic | $8 | 50¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Economy | Yes | $35 | 41¢ | 6.5¢ | -$29 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 3.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$34 |
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Rigged Election" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $153 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | -$150 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down - October 15Finance | DownResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $91 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
 Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $98 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $13 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will the announcers say "Dribble" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $45 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 52.5 and 53 million views on day 5?Culture | NoResolved | $16 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $9 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $90 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $118 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $33 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ethereum ETF Flows on October 17?Crypto | PositiveResolved | $85 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $970 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$970 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 22?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |