 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $4.4K | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$475 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $3.9K | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$730 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $3.6K | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $3.3K | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$316 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $1.4K | 42¢ | 61¢ | +$620 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$400 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.5K | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$377 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $1.2K | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$94 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 30¢ | 20¢ | -$501 |
| Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?Culture | No | $550 | 54¢ | 94¢ | +$407 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $758 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$171 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $976 | 32¢ | 31¢ | -$49 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $914 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $819 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$79 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $371 | 37¢ | 89¢ | +$508 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $1.2K | 46¢ | 33¢ | -$367 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $516 | 34¢ | 43¢ | +$134 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $576 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $823 | 3.9¢ | 2.4¢ | -$329 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $308 | 42¢ | 62¢ | +$143 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $380 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$43 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $365 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$38 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $380 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $343 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $105 | 31¢ | 93¢ | +$213 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $290 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$7 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $250 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$24 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | Yes | $266 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $171 | 62¢ | 92¢ | +$81 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $574 | 3.6¢ | 1.6¢ | -$326 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $454 | 38¢ | 21¢ | -$208 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $195 | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$26 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $153 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $172 | 57¢ | 39¢ | -$55 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBA | No | $96 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $159 | 40¢ | 24¢ | -$64 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $222 | 44¢ | 18¢ | -$132 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$19 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy | Yes | $53 | 16¢ | 24¢ | +$26 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Culture | No | $91 | 73¢ | 62¢ | -$14 |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Culture | Yes | $10 | 4.9¢ | 36¢ | +$65 |
 Will BGC Partners (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $86 | 72¢ | 51¢ | -$26 |
 Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $60 | 66¢ | 43¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy | No | $35 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $44 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$8 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?Economy | No | $31 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $26 | 65¢ | 86¢ | +$8 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $29 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 41¢ | 25¢ | -$19 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $29 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $27 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Economy | Yes | $14 | 31¢ | 55¢ | +$11 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $122 | 9.6¢ | 1.9¢ | -$97 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 62¢ | 31¢ | -$23 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Economy | Yes | $29 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $39 | 47¢ | 27¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $148 | 21¢ | 3.0¢ | -$126 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $44 | 3.5¢ | 1.6¢ | -$24 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Other | Yes | $64 | 22¢ | 5.9¢ | -$46 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $10 | 52¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | No | $42 | 8.4¢ | 2.6¢ | -$29 |
| Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Mentions | No | $21 | 69¢ | 39¢ | -$9 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | No | $11 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | No | $61 | 20¢ | 3.7¢ | -$50 |
| Will Trump say "Melania" this week?Mentions | No | $10 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?Politics | No | $6 | 57¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $7 | 52¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?Finance | Yes | $103 | 7.0¢ | 0.6¢ | -$94 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Mentions | No | $9 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?Mentions | Yes | $12 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $153 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | -$148 |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | Yes | $32 | 21¢ | 2.9¢ | -$27 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in June?Economy | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $7 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down - October 15Finance | DownResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $91 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $98 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $13 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the announcers say "Dribble" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $45 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 52.5 and 53 million views on day 5?Culture | NoResolved | $16 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $9 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $90 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $33 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ethereum ETF Flows on October 17?Crypto | PositiveResolved | $85 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1336h ago