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StudentMoney

Predicting since Sep 20241,452 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $68K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $59K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$20K on Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$48K56¢79¢+$20K
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$40K96¢96¢+$156
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?PoliticsNo$23K99¢98¢-$182
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$19K27¢31¢+$2.9K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$19K94¢96¢+$271
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$18K95¢99¢+$720
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$21K28¢24¢-$3.1K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$13K97¢99¢+$302
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$10K63¢68¢+$802
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$10K94¢99¢+$528
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$10K24¢26¢+$781
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$6.3K82¢84¢+$125
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?PoliticsYes$5.4K90¢94¢+$195
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$6.9K88¢57¢-$2.4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K75¢76¢+$36
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3.5K87¢88¢+$6
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2.5K85¢84¢-$23
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.7K79¢89¢+$198
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K61¢69¢+$225
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.5K2.5¢3.0¢+$334
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.0K60¢63¢+$42
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.0K80¢79¢-$8
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$4780.7¢1.5¢+$515
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75389¢98¢+$77
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?PoliticsYes$64982¢89¢+$57
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$58999¢100¢+$5
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$54074¢73¢-$6
French election called by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$34599¢99¢+$1
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$25378¢79¢+$4
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1492.4¢3.2¢+$50
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$16254¢65¢+$32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$17282¢83¢+$2
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19871¢62¢-$26
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$16078¢78¢-$0
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsYes$13478¢88¢+$17
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2382.9¢1.8¢-$93
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$10087¢86¢-$2
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2573.8¢1.4¢-$165
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1200.3¢0.1¢-$60
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1400.7¢0.3¢-$90
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2239.0¢1.3¢-$191
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1299¢100¢+$0
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$10717¢0.6¢-$104
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$235¢43¢+$0
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$215¢14¢-$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4.6K40¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$7056¢0.0¢-$70
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$14827¢0.0¢-$148
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$34219¢0.0¢-$342
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K18¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna BondarTennisElina AvanesyanResolved$14369¢0.0¢-$143
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.9K38¢0.0¢-$2.9K
France vs. England: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$13255¢0.0¢-$132
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$124.4¢0.0¢-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$68K
Champions League+$38K
UFC / MMA-$17K
Finance-$15K
Other-$14K
Premier League-$14K
Tennis-$11K
Other sports+$6.6K
NFL+$5.6K
La Liga-$5.5K
World Cup-$3.5K
Soccer (other)-$3.3K
Biggest hit
+$20K
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Toughest beat
-$86K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2021h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$7301h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$7401h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$22h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$7502h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$22h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2692h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$4892h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 26?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 26?$12h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$7212h ago
  • Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$4943h ago