 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $74K | 30¢ | 84¢ | +$133K |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $45K | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$225 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $45K | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$225 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $26K | 36¢ | 50¢ | +$10.0K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22K | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$453 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $18K | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$3.9K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $18K | 7.5¢ | 7.1¢ | -$734 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $12K | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$1.6K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $5.7K | 37¢ | 88¢ | +$7.6K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7.0K | 34¢ | 53¢ | +$3.9K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8.6K | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$1.7K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $9.1K | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$835 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $8.0K | 44¢ | 52¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 6.2¢ | 13¢ | +$4.4K |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8.9K | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$726 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6.3K | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$1.6K |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7.1K | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$654 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7.2K | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$311 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $11K | 5.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -$4.6K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.9K | 65¢ | 91¢ | +$1.5K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.8K | 50¢ | 65¢ | +$1.1K |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$1.2K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 29¢ | 69¢ | +$2.5K |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$237 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$2.1K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$964 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 36¢ | 58¢ | +$1.3K |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $2.3K | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$775 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $1.6K | 40¢ | 74¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $2.3K | 51¢ | 61¢ | +$450 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.6K | 57¢ | 93¢ | +$1.0K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$334 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 21¢ | 32¢ | +$787 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 22¢ | 42¢ | +$1.1K |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 46¢ | 97¢ | +$1.2K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $2.2K | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$38 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | No | $2.3K | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$221 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6.6K | 16¢ | 5.0¢ | -$4.6K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 48¢ | 87¢ | +$843 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$129 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 10¢ | 10¢ | -$48 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $692 | 34¢ | 86¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $1.6K | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$80 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$568 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$93 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $12K | 11¢ | 1.5¢ | -$10K |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$448 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$35 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $537 | 32¢ | 85¢ | +$900 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $1.1K | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$277 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 17¢ | 10¢ | -$857 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $855 | 55¢ | 78¢ | +$359 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$117 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$48 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$417 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $895 | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$178 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $598 | 35¢ | 62¢ | +$458 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | Yes | $846 | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$154 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $416 | 21¢ | 49¢ | +$535 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | No | $803 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$136 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $472 | 36¢ | 66¢ | +$390 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $1.6K | 42¢ | 22¢ | -$756 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $325 | 34¢ | 87¢ | +$507 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 9.1¢ | 4.6¢ | -$739 |
 Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $723 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$22 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $172 | 13¢ | 55¢ | +$556 |
 Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $599 | 59¢ | 70¢ | +$109 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $839 | 10¢ | 8.0¢ | -$169 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $242 | 13¢ | 37¢ | +$425 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics | Yes | $738 | 10¢ | 9.0¢ | -$82 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $650 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$13 |
 Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $125 | 5.1¢ | 25¢ | +$503 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $965 | 4.7¢ | 2.9¢ | -$375 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$949 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $451 | 2.1¢ | 2.5¢ | +$107 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $555 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$13 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $380 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$141 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $307 | 18¢ | 30¢ | +$206 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $277 | 28¢ | 51¢ | +$218 |
 Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $313 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$173 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $520 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$37 |
 Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $372 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$87 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $375 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$83 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $357 | 65¢ | 83¢ | +$99 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $105 | 23¢ | 95¢ | +$330 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $414 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$7 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $238 | 58¢ | 94¢ | +$146 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $193 | 15¢ | 29¢ | +$186 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $340 | 1.7¢ | 1.8¢ | +$30 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | Yes | $307 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$60 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $356 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$5 |
 Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $278 | 19¢ | 25¢ | +$77 |
 Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $307 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$32 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $765 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$440 |
 Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $313 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 8.4¢ | 2.1¢ | -$898 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 37¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $270 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$5 |
 Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $180 | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$77 |
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