 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $117K | 29¢ | 43¢ | +$57K |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $26K | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$5.7K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $15K | 54¢ | 99¢ | +$13K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $12K | 37¢ | 73¢ | +$12K |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $16K | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$403 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $8.7K | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$1.9K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9.6K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$360 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $9.1K | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$625 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $12K | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$3.0K |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $6.9K | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1.9K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $9.0K | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$206 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8.6K | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$45 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $8.4K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$150 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7.5K | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$1.1K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $8.0K | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7.2K | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$62 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.9K | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$1.0K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 6.9¢ | 41¢ | +$5.6K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 5.4¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2.1K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7.0K | 34¢ | 24¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4.7K | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$121 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$1.2K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $4.6K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$75 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 9.9¢ | 9.5¢ | -$206 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7.1K | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$2.7K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$18 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $2.5K | 60¢ | 76¢ | +$665 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $1.6K | 42¢ | 84¢ | +$1.6K |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | No | $2.9K | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$106 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$135 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $2.6K | 51¢ | 49¢ | -$87 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.6K | 57¢ | 85¢ | +$766 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 33¢ | 21¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1.8K | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$205 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 48¢ | 80¢ | +$691 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $1.6K | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$80 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.4K | 31¢ | 38¢ | +$281 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$231 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8.7K | 9.1¢ | 1.7¢ | -$7.1K |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 59¢ | 59¢ | -$18 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$221 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 5.4¢ | 4.1¢ | -$492 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 26¢ | 38¢ | +$425 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $1.4K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$32 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $692 | 34¢ | 69¢ | +$694 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $914 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$465 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$175 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $537 | 32¢ | 79¢ | +$798 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$67 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$152 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$436 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 48¢ | 44¢ | -$110 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $260 | 13¢ | 52¢ | +$782 |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$42 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $1.3K | 71¢ | 53¢ | -$338 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $520 | 52¢ | 95¢ | +$425 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$209 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $797 | 64¢ | 71¢ | +$87 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $641 | 35¢ | 48¢ | +$233 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $867 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 9.1¢ | 5.2¢ | -$641 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $460 | 13¢ | 25¢ | +$380 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 59¢ | 47¢ | -$231 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 20¢ | 9.5¢ | -$793 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | Yes | $846 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$115 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $610 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$105 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $732 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$51 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | No | $647 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$32 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$565 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $509 | 2.1¢ | 2.4¢ | +$72 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $532 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$28 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $472 | 36¢ | 41¢ | +$67 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $367 | 17¢ | 25¢ | +$165 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $348 | 5.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$174 |
| Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $481 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $490 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $722 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$260 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $193 | 15¢ | 35¢ | +$268 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $357 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$88 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $305 | 61¢ | 88¢ | +$133 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $233 | 19¢ | 36¢ | +$204 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $375 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$53 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $105 | 23¢ | 94¢ | +$323 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $300 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$124 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $414 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $386 | 51¢ | 55¢ | +$26 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $340 | 1.7¢ | 2.1¢ | +$70 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $238 | 58¢ | 89¢ | +$128 |
 Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $332 | 9.0¢ | 9.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 37¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $186 | 7.0¢ | 11¢ | +$108 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $223 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$55 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | Yes | $224 | 7.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$32 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $239 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Politics | No | $215 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $202 | 20¢ | 23¢ | +$21 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $125 | 25¢ | 44¢ | +$95 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $301 | 48¢ | 34¢ | -$86 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $198 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $194 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$14 |
