McMurphy

Predicting since Oct 202396 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.7K on Politics markets since Oct 2023.

Right now: $9.6K across 8 Politics markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$7.7K	49¢	48¢	-$211
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$220	11¢	13¢	+$38
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$769	0.5¢	0.1¢	-$550
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$136	34¢	51¢	+$66
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$534	1.4¢	0.3¢	-$439
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$144	2.3¢	0.8¢	-$97
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$40	0.4¢	0.1¢	-$35
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$201	2.4¢	0.1¢	-$197
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$140	1.8¢	0.1¢	-$136
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	7.0¢	2.3¢	-$5
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$100	4.0¢	0.1¢	-$99
New pandemic in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	11¢	5.5¢	-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$20	22¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Finance	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?Crypto	YesResolved	$0	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$4.7K

Crypto-$473

Finance-$334

Formula 1-$258

Economy-$180

Soccer (other)+$140

Tech-$79

Champions League-$19

Other-$10

World Cup+$9

Weather-$5

Biggest hit

+$910

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$2.8K

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2404d ago
Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2904d ago
Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1345d ago
Bought Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$257d ago
Bought Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$07d ago
Bought Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$07d ago
Bought Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$07d ago
Bought Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$07d ago
Bought Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$187d ago
Bought No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2427d ago