 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5.7K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $4.2K | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$460 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4.1K | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$101 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $2.4K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$66 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$39 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$100 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$92 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$63 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$69 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$52 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.4K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$95 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $1.4K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$25 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$38 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $1.3K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$62 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$189 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $961 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $902 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$53 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $934 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $877 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $770 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$85 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $790 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $765 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $270 | 27¢ | 63¢ | +$355 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $618 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $599 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $586 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $535 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $486 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $489 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $454 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$31 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $464 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $439 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$29 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $454 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $446 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $415 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$48 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $446 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $463 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$3 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $452 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $433 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$13 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $439 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$6 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $435 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$8 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $401 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$41 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $245 | 31¢ | 55¢ | +$192 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $406 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$29 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $437 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $393 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$40 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $418 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $370 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$48 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $318 | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$99 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $391 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$22 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $385 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $418 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$51 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $348 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $361 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $510 | 64¢ | 44¢ | -$162 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Finance | No | $351 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $320 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $297 | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$23 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $309 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $294 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $247 | 49¢ | 61¢ | +$58 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $344 | 69¢ | 61¢ | -$42 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $273 | 55¢ | 61¢ | +$30 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $307 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $290 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $264 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$28 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $233 | 62¢ | 77¢ | +$54 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $262 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $272 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $274 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $273 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $258 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $278 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $285 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$5 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $280 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $273 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $261 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $274 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $243 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$32 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $272 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $267 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $242 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $267 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$3 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $262 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $274 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$12 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $259 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $229 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$27 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $248 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$8 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $195 | 39¢ | 50¢ | +$56 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $235 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$16 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $242 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $266 | 89¢ | 81¢ | -$24 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $245 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $228 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $234 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$6 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $205 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$23 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $190 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $249 | 86¢ | 68¢ | -$51 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $190 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
Sold No · Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$102h ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$4262h ago
Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$2673h ago
Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$3.8K5h ago
Bought No · Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$815h ago