← Whale Watch

DFK

Predicting since Jan 2025705 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $45K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $29K across 9 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16K88¢96¢+$1.3K
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$13K92¢95¢+$495
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14K91¢93¢+$290
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$13K95¢96¢+$21
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10K86¢94¢+$915
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.8K85¢94¢+$879
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$7.8K88¢92¢+$356
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.5K89¢96¢+$630
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.7K94¢96¢+$189
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$7.8K83¢84¢+$78
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.4K82¢89¢+$395
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.9K93¢96¢+$187
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.7K93¢96¢+$114
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.1K91¢93¢+$73
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.7K87¢96¢+$406
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3.8K84¢92¢+$318
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.9K93¢97¢+$103
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$2.7K83¢87¢+$109
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K93¢96¢+$56
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K92¢90¢-$55
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K96¢98¢+$42
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K81¢92¢+$206
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K85¢92¢+$104
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1.5K84¢84¢+$1
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$1.4K87¢93¢+$84
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K85¢95¢+$144
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K93¢99¢+$78
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K89¢93¢+$57
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K89¢95¢+$67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K84¢81¢-$54
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$98977¢86¢+$110
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$96997¢97¢+$3
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$92088¢92¢+$33
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$89089¢91¢+$15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$80685¢92¢+$66
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$77187¢87¢-$3
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$65493¢94¢+$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$67767¢57¢-$93
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsNo$41383¢86¢+$17
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$30184¢88¢+$13
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$29190¢97¢+$22
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsNo$34188¢77¢-$44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$24074¢79¢+$17
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$23192¢97¢+$12
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsNo$20680¢91¢+$27
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?PoliticsNo$21497¢98¢+$1
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$14278¢81¢+$5
D4vd released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$9992¢94¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?PoliticsNo$6294¢95¢+$0
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?PoliticsNo$5394¢96¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$9125¢13¢-$46
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$4490¢92¢+$1
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4293¢96¢+$1
Will Alberta join the US? PoliticsNo$2994¢97¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$2696¢97¢+$0
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?PoliticsNo$1877¢96¢+$4
Diddy released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$1565¢78¢+$3
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$21070¢0.0¢-$210
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K65¢0.0¢-$2.0K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$45K
Tech-$9.4K
Culture-$1.2K
Weather+$856
Crypto+$518
NFL+$175
Economy+$133
World Cup+$20
Mentions+$1
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Toughest beat
-$10K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$59m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$514m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$514m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$522m ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$92026m ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$33626m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$530m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$534m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$547m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$548m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$555m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$555m ago