← Whale Watch

whig

Predicting since Jan 2026761 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $228K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $30K riding on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?.

Biggest hit: +$48K on Starmer out by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$30K100¢100¢+$96
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22K86¢92¢+$1.3K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8.6K86¢91¢+$490
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$7.6K87¢90¢+$235
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsNo$7.0K86¢93¢+$547
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6.0K59¢62¢+$239
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5.5K91¢96¢+$280
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$4.7K84¢87¢+$154
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.5K57¢67¢+$593
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$2.2K55¢100¢+$1.8K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$3.6K90¢96¢+$232
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$3.6K45¢44¢-$120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.8K14¢17¢+$550
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K65¢80¢+$580
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.9K42¢33¢-$914
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$2.5K64¢76¢+$483
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsYes$3.6K46¢37¢-$690
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5.7K35¢14¢-$3.5K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.0K18¢38¢+$1.2K
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K76¢89¢+$291
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K62¢63¢+$25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.6K78¢86¢+$148
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$96951¢82¢+$593
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.1K35¢41¢+$192
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.7K60¢44¢-$459
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.0K7.0¢8.1¢+$150
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$77277¢99¢+$218
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6853.4¢4.9¢+$284
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?OtherNo$46339¢72¢+$399
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$32520¢52¢+$530
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6957.4¢8.8¢+$132
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$63630¢34¢+$107
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$81240¢32¢-$171
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$69328¢25¢-$68
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$40654¢52¢-$12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$32841¢44¢+$20
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?PoliticsYes$28743¢38¢-$35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$40127¢16¢-$171
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$26721¢18¢-$49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$64925¢6.5¢-$479
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?OtherYes$12012¢14¢+$20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10069¢69¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$21021¢8.5¢-$125
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14221¢11¢-$72
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20010¢1.8¢-$164
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1793¢100¢+$1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$222.5¢1.7¢-$7
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsYes$4127¢8.5¢-$28
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?PoliticsYes$15.0¢21¢+$4
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$65.0¢2.1¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$228K
Crypto+$21K
World Cup+$4.0K
Mentions+$3.4K
Soccer (other)+$3.3K
Finance-$3.1K
eSports+$1.9K
NFL+$1.0K
Other+$852
Weather+$310
NBA-$207
Tech+$160
Biggest hit
+$48K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$103h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$303h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$1063h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$823h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$1203h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$115h ago
  • Sold No · Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?$2225h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$06h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$246h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$46h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$17h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$967h ago