← Whale Watch

meagainsttheworld

Predicting since Feb 2026758 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $152K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $44K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$33K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$44K20¢20¢-$1.8K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$15K7.0¢4.5¢-$5.5K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$13K77¢57¢-$3.3K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.3K38¢51¢+$1.1K
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$59015¢100¢+$3.3K
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.5K30¢44¢+$663
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$6.0K2.3¢0.8¢-$3.9K
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K25¢26¢+$94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$5.2K35¢12¢-$3.5K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4908.4¢27¢+$1.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$1.0K14¢18¢+$286
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$1295.6¢43¢+$850
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$40655¢100¢+$334
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$81326¢21¢-$182
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.5K17¢7.5¢-$827
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$1.4K11¢4.5¢-$817
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4806.0¢7.5¢+$120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$58014¢14¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$72525¢16¢-$257
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3696.7¢8.2¢+$85
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$33376¢100¢+$106
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K19¢6.5¢-$808
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K36¢13¢-$759
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$33387¢100¢+$51
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$4855.1¢3.5¢-$157
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$53053¢31¢-$220
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$1.0K22¢6.1¢-$729
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsYes$5822.0¢0.9¢-$333
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$98212¢2.7¢-$767
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsYes$3204.6¢3.0¢-$111
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$20015¢12¢-$38
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$12725¢31¢+$25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$1.6K13¢0.9¢-$1.5K
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10015¢14¢-$3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$10610¢8.5¢-$16
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBAYes$14428¢16¢-$65
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$27127¢6.5¢-$206
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$16839¢14¢-$106
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K30¢1.7¢-$999
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$38021¢2.6¢-$332
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$2437¢66¢+$19
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$21539¢7.0¢-$176
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$2837¢46¢+$7
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$612.4¢1.3¢-$28
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechYes$4488¢59¢-$15
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$431.9¢1.3¢-$15
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$48266¢1.7¢-$470
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2210¢5.5¢-$10
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?NBAYes$2289¢47¢-$10
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$473.9¢0.8¢-$38
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechYes$4918¢2.8¢-$41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$536¢34¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceYes$5816¢1.3¢-$54
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.1K18¢0.1¢-$1.1K
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$159.9¢2.1¢-$12
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBAYes$12417¢0.1¢-$123
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$15014¢0.0¢-$150
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$7175.0¢0.0¢-$717
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6446¢0.0¢-$64
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?PoliticsNoResolved$47019¢0.0¢-$470
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3945¢0.0¢-$39
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?TechYesResolved$6967¢0.0¢-$69
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$57330¢0.0¢-$573
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?PoliticsNoResolved$1668.3¢0.0¢-$166

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$152K
Tech+$4.1K
NBA+$2.5K
Mentions+$1.6K
Finance-$828
Economy+$518
Culture+$52
UFC / MMA+$42
World Cup+$18
Biggest hit
+$33K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$7.1K
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3131h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4201h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.5K1h ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$482h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$513h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$10413h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$17614h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$514h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$214h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1014h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$24614h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1014h ago