 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $44K | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$8.0K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $3.0K | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$99 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 7.1¢ | 6.5¢ | -$229 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $2.4K | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$367 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $1.9K | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$46 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $2.1K | 59¢ | 38¢ | -$765 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | No | $1.4K | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$133 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Finance | Yes | $600 | 8.2¢ | 17¢ | +$605 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $1.8K | 58¢ | 39¢ | -$599 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$73 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $800 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $732 | 7.3¢ | 6.5¢ | -$82 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $707 | 8.2¢ | 6.5¢ | -$145 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance | Yes | $469 | 47¢ | 55¢ | +$76 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $649 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$109 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $630 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$175 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $323 | 64¢ | 81¢ | +$83 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $307 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$30 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $331 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Finance | Yes | $219 | 24¢ | 29¢ | +$39 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $308 | 44¢ | 35¢ | -$67 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | Yes | $677 | 6.6¢ | 2.3¢ | -$442 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | Yes | $363 | 9.1¢ | 5.5¢ | -$143 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $725 | 25¢ | 6.9¢ | -$525 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $168 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Finance | Yes | $138 | 6.9¢ | 9.3¢ | +$47 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $247 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$81 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | Yes | $216 | 7.2¢ | 5.1¢ | -$61 |
 Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $370 | 99¢ | 41¢ | -$216 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $122 | 69¢ | 83¢ | +$24 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $168 | 5.8¢ | 5.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $138 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $140 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $548 | 4.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$419 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $200 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$72 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | Yes | $292 | 3.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$196 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $206 | 25¢ | 10¢ | -$124 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 4.4¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$30 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $69 | 47¢ | 45¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $449 | 6.5¢ | 0.8¢ | -$397 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $85 | 45¢ | 22¢ | -$43 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$11 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$46 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $270 | 27¢ | 3.2¢ | -$238 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 34¢ | 9.0¢ | -$59 |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $144 | 28¢ | 3.5¢ | -$126 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $302 | 15¢ | 0.9¢ | -$285 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$11 |
 Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $22 | 89¢ | 25¢ | -$16 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 24¢ | 2.6¢ | -$43 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 30¢ | 11¢ | -$8 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 8.9¢ | 5.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$3 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $28 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $157 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$157 |
 Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $948 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$948 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $295 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$295 |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $154 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $482 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$482 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $79 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $300 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $136 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $49 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $12K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12K |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $336 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$336 |
