← Whale Watch

meowtai

Predicting since Jul 20221,579 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $81K on Politics markets since Jul 2022.

Right now: $23K riding on Trump out as President by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$19K on No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$23K99¢100¢+$101
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$20K99¢100¢+$35
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$16K99¢100¢+$70
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$9.4K99¢100¢+$30
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$6.9K94¢96¢+$128
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$4.0K50¢80¢+$2.4K
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$6.2K92¢94¢+$96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.8K74¢80¢+$411
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.1K90¢92¢+$79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K99¢99¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$3.2K95¢97¢+$71
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3.0K57¢56¢-$24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2.4K81¢87¢+$150
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$2.4K98¢99¢+$34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$2.3K99¢100¢+$11
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K94¢99¢+$90
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$1.9K96¢97¢+$5
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢96¢+$5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢95¢+$10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K94¢95¢+$10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$1.6K83¢87¢+$72
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.0K50¢20¢-$2.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K99¢99¢-$5
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$1.4K95¢95¢-$8
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K96¢98¢+$35
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K91¢91¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.0K50¢58¢+$150
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$95696¢97¢+$10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$88989¢92¢+$27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?TechNo$88499¢99¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$88088¢89¢+$5
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?FinanceNo$85898¢100¢+$10
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsNo$81695¢99¢+$31
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?FinanceNo$81396¢99¢+$26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$67396¢100¢+$23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$67467¢66¢-$15
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$57088¢100¢+$80
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechNo$55592¢91¢-$8
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?FinanceNo$49891¢99¢+$44
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$80752¢32¢-$308
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$48096¢96¢-$0
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$45399¢100¢+$5
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$44795¢97¢+$10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$43987¢90¢+$13
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43787¢89¢+$8
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$40291¢98¢+$31
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$38496¢98¢+$6
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$32681¢94¢+$48
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$36892¢93¢+$2
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$33792¢96¢+$13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$32881¢82¢+$1
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?FinanceNo$31897¢100¢+$10
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$29798¢100¢+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$28170¢75¢+$18
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$29273¢73¢+$2
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$27396¢99¢+$10
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$33082¢69¢-$52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$48295¢51¢-$223
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$25139¢38¢-$10
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$22883¢88¢+$13
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?PoliticsNo$22095¢96¢+$1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$24928¢23¢-$50
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19196¢96¢+$1
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?PoliticsNo$18693¢94¢+$2
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$16482¢81¢-$1
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250 by July 31?FinanceNo$16099¢99¢+$1
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by July 31?FinanceNo$15899¢98¢-$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$14687¢91¢+$6
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?TechYes$13295¢96¢+$1
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$11786¢96¢+$14
Weed rescheduled by July 31?PoliticsNo$12396¢99¢+$3
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by July 31?TechNo$12499¢98¢-$1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?FinanceNo$11594¢99¢+$7
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$8765¢91¢+$34
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$10452¢60¢+$15
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$12097¢96¢-$1
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by July 31?FinanceNo$11698¢96¢-$3
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$10589¢94¢+$6
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$12192¢79¢-$18
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?PoliticsNo$9494¢94¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$16585¢44¢-$81
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$7083¢81¢-$2
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4218¢28¢+$22
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?FinanceNo$16389¢33¢-$103
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$5896¢97¢+$1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?TechNo$5499¢99¢+$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$6361¢52¢-$10
Will Clément Braz Afonso finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$3598¢100¢+$1
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?FinanceYes$250.5¢0.7¢+$8
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$39923¢1.5¢-$374
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?CultureNo$2180¢89¢+$2
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?FinanceNo$1897¢97¢+$0
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$5069¢25¢-$32
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$2392¢63¢-$7
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$1492¢94¢+$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceNo$1379¢80¢+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1631¢23¢-$4
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by July 31?FinanceYes$374.9¢0.9¢-$31
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?FinanceNo$599¢98¢-$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31?FinanceNo$599¢96¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$81K
Crypto+$19K
Boxing-$12K
Culture+$8.7K
Finance-$6.5K
Other sports-$6.0K
World Cup-$2.9K
Tech-$1.9K
Mentions+$603
Economy+$466
Olympics+$359
eSports+$255
Biggest hit
+$19K
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$14K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$79439m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1911h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$4391h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$5782h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$4802h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$992h ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$493h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$7954h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1665h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$3969h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$54721h ago
  • Bought No · Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$3821h ago