 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $16K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$125 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?Politics | No | $12K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$9 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $9.2K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$213 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $9.1K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$239 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6.0K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$3.1K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $5.6K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$37 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $5.2K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$87 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $4.8K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$39 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $4.8K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $4.5K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $4.4K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$81 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3.8K | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$168 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3.4K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$56 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $3.4K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$19 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $3.3K | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$132 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 71¢ | 59¢ | -$616 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$3.1K |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $2.8K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$24 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $2.7K | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$30 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2.3K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$63 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$64 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Politics | No | $2.0K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$25 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | No | $1.6K | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$232 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 36¢ | 19¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $1.7K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $1.6K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$72 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.6K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$176 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$82 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.2K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$37 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.2K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$10 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | No | $1.0K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$27 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch?Politics | No | $1.0K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$7 |
 Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | No | $1.1K | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$82 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.0K | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | No | $872 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $870 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$5 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $767 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $764 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $753 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $739 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?Tech | No | $702 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $633 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $893 | 49¢ | 34¢ | -$282 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $586 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $561 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Tech | No | $569 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25.5B by September 30?Finance | No | $438 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$28 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $443 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $428 | 37¢ | 35¢ | -$27 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $393 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $352 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $364 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $337 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$16 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $301 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$38 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $328 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $255B by September 30?Finance | No | $304 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Tech | No | $277 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$35 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $298 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $261 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $276 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$6 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $274 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Tech | No | $260 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $264 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $278 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$8 |
 Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $235 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $253 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $253 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $248 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Politics | No | $220 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by September 30?Finance | No | $202 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $72.5B by September 30?Finance | No | $190 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $180 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $176 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Tech | No | $142 | 52¢ | 60¢ | +$19 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?Tech | No | $148 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Trump endorse Renan Santos for President of Brazil?Politics | No | $146 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30?Finance | No | $135 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $117 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
 Kash Patel out by September 30?Politics | No | $117 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?Politics | No | $111 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $114 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?Finance | No | $101 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $86 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil?Politics | No | $76 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $173 | 48¢ | 23¢ | -$92 |
 Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | No | $66 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $69 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be less than 1 hour?Tech | No | $66 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by September 30?Finance | No | $59 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $4B one day after launch?Politics | No | $49 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30?Finance | No | $43 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$4 |
 Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $34 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
