Malganis

Predicting since Aug 20242,833 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.1K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $2.5K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	No	$1.6K	87¢	87¢	-$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1.2K	75¢	78¢	+$40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics	Yes	$1.1K	57¢	61¢	+$69
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$1.2K	48¢	50¢	+$39
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$998	90¢	95¢	+$50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$880	88¢	88¢	-$5
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$783	64¢	66¢	+$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$640	64¢	65¢	+$5
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics	Yes	$636	85¢	86¢	+$8
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	Yes	$508	18¢	22¢	+$125
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture	No	$504	76¢	80¢	+$27
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech	No	$441	79¢	90¢	+$61
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics	Yes	$420	21¢	22¢	+$10
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics	Yes	$513	19¢	13¢	-$145
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$639	13¢	7.4¢	-$285
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics	Yes	$404	38¢	30¢	-$90
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$248	24¢	30¢	+$57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	Yes	$171	11¢	18¢	+$106
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics	Yes	$368	36¢	27¢	-$95
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$199	14¢	19¢	+$65
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	Yes	$217	7.0¢	5.5¢	-$47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$160	16¢	17¢	+$5
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$183	9.0¢	7.5¢	-$31
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$69	1.7¢	3.5¢	+$71
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$134	4.3¢	3.1¢	-$35
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics	Yes	$90	9.0¢	8.5¢	-$5
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	Yes	$89	3.9¢	3.1¢	-$17
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$70	2.1¢	1.8¢	-$8
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics	Yes	$27	4.0¢	2.9¢	-$7
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$20	0.5¢	0.1¢	-$18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	42¢	9.5¢	-$7