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Malganis

Predicting since Aug 20242,769 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.2K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$52217¢43¢+$753
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K65¢74¢+$128
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$96344¢44¢-$11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75075¢94¢+$185
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$67013¢14¢+$55
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$60938¢34¢-$55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$85725¢16¢-$306
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$40280¢95¢+$79
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$38553¢56¢+$17
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$42320¢18¢-$42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3669.0¢8.5¢-$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$19572¢100¢+$75
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$17914¢14¢-$4
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$1604.0¢3.5¢-$20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$13763¢56¢-$15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$15731¢20¢-$57
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8225¢22¢-$10
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$808.0¢6.5¢-$15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3737¢44¢+$7
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$613.7¢2.6¢-$19
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$370.9¢0.9¢-$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$290.7¢0.7¢-$2
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$164.4¢2.9¢-$5
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$200.5¢0.1¢-$14
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$591¢83¢-$0
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$56.7¢4.0¢-$2
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsYes$21.7¢0.9¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$777
Finance+$379
NHL-$236
NFL-$154
Tech+$151
eSports+$115
Culture-$84
Crypto+$55
Premier League+$42
UFC / MMA+$39
Other sports+$36
Tennis+$28
Biggest hit
+$675
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Toughest beat
-$990
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 4?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$16915h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$6115h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$18515h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3815h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$516h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$416h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$42716h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$41216h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$6816h ago
  • Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$5016h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18516h ago
  • Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$18116h ago