← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$1.5M volumeYes 4.2¢No 96¢
Sharp lean: 8% Yes92% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
4.2¢- 1
norrisfan$4.7K - 2PuntPP$2.0K
- 3teateateaaa$2.0K
- 4
de5nutsSharp$1.8K - 50xb22598b366c9ec16A3e97dc90e09dd5fD8dc3d54-1762701017684$1.3K
- 6qqq89$1.2K
- 7vinisw$1.1K
- 80x398b…be1f$1.0K
- 9leegunnerSharp$857
- 10yupiiiiiiiii$612
- 11
borja13$526 - 12
MimbleWimbled$519 - 13samanthacastro$512
- 14
EuanSharp$505 - 15
ofgoodfgdohojdf$499 - 16
Melampus$457 - 170xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-1772395966516$427
- 18
xiangnan$413 - 19sverrekd$372
- 20neutralwave23$371
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
96¢- 10xa5ef…2966$503K
- 2
AnjunSharp$33K - 30x9FcFBb4a9B536e5bA8Cb0Abe812f7fd9Abbee455-1779715773242$29K
- 4zhuoyue$29K
- 5tryingout1$20K
- 6
098765434567i$17K - 7
Robbb$13K - 8morguet$10.0K
- 9
milkthedip$7.8K - 10yoyobb2018$7.2K
- 11Aoe2Enjoyer$6.8K
- 12P1kaso$6.2K
- 13
BondSeeker$6.1K - 14-Guapo--$5.5K
- 150x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107$5.4K
- 16sweetj$3.9K
- 17surfandturfSharp$3.2K
- 18
Irboz-sama$2.2K - 19gasadfa$2.1K
- 20
JhonAlexanderHinestrozaSharp$2.0K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,165 on No @ 96¢Be-water-myfriend11h ago
- $1,471 out of No @ 96¢Pereira72d ago
- $1,464 out of Yes @ 3.5¢0x4B58168FB42fd47897696D6053e594C7C8eF4aDf-17595985539792d ago
- $2,246 on Yes @ 3.4¢
norrisfan3d ago - $1,973 out of No @ 97¢bonalddrunk3d ago
- $28,592 on No @ 95¢zhuoyue4d ago
- $1,554 on Yes @ 4.9¢0xb22598b366c9ec16A3e97dc90e09dd5fD8dc3d54-17627010176845d ago
- $4,654 out of No @ 95¢
Paracellus5d ago - $6,149 on No @ 95¢Bigggggggg5d ago
- $1,207 on Yes @ 4.2¢qqq895d ago
- $6,008 on No @ 96¢Bigggggggg5d ago
- $1,102 on No @ 96¢Bigggggggg5d ago
- $1,000 on No @ 96¢Bigggggggg6d ago
- $1,121 out of No @ 96¢Khangarox6d ago
- $2,569 on No @ 96¢Bigggggggg6d ago
- $1,724 on No @ 96¢Bigggggggg6d ago
- $1,217 on No @ 96¢Bigggggggg6d ago
- $1,519 on No @ 95¢Bigggggggg6d ago
- $2,041 on No @ 95¢Bigggggggg6d ago
- $1,171 on No @ 94¢Bigggggggg6d ago