Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $280K | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$1.4K |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $280K | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$1.4K |
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $21K | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$2.9K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5.6K | 28¢ | 55¢ | +$5.4K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $9.8K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$269 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 33¢ | 45¢ | +$2.0K |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $7.8K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$73 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $6.8K | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$539 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $6.5K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$46 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $4.8K | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$659 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $3.8K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$121 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 44¢ | 52¢ | +$428 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$172 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 26¢ | 66¢ | +$1.6K |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1.0K |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.9K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1.2K | 7.0¢ | 11¢ | +$615 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$42 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$155 |
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$107 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.2K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$71 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $1.2K | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$101 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $1.1K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $740 | 24¢ | 36¢ | +$356 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $833 | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$257 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$39 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $859 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$131 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $644 | 58¢ | 80¢ | +$239 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $682 | 70¢ | 87¢ | +$155 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 40¢ | 16¢ | -$1.3K |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $687 | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$142 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $602 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$168 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $289 | 6.5¢ | 16¢ | +$424 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $953 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$431 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $203 | 38¢ | 89¢ | +$270 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 4.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$2.2K |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $660 | 6.5¢ | 4.5¢ | -$203 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $431 | 39¢ | 37¢ | -$15 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $226 | 51¢ | 93¢ | +$184 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 35¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.8K |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $431 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$81 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $412 | 64¢ | 47¢ | -$115 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $645 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | -$388 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $75 | 0.9¢ | 2.5¢ | +$147 |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $340 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$125 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $183 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $140 | 5.6¢ | 7.8¢ | +$56 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 8.0¢ | 1.4¢ | -$887 |
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | Yes | $188 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$31 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $127 | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$17 |
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $288 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$152 |
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | Yes | $90 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$45 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $169 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$47 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 23¢ | 92¢ | +$77 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 30¢ | 84¢ | +$65 |
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $156 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$86 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $168 | 26¢ | 6.0¢ | -$130 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $111 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | -$88 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $52 | 16¢ | 6.0¢ | -$32 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$8 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 3.2¢ | 0.7¢ | -$44 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $83 | 7.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$74 |
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$16 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $219 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | -$215 |
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$20 |
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3.5K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.5K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $136 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $373 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$373 |
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $185 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $85 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $176 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $19K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19K |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $124K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124K |
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $85 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $85 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $981 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$981 |
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7.8K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.8K |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $524 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$524 |
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7.8K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.8K |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | NoResolved | $527 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$527 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Politics | YesResolved | $850 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$850 |
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $8.2K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.2K |
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |