 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $295K | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$42K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $295K | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$42K |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $18K | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$536 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $7.8K | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$503 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $6.8K | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$461 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $3.8K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$129 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $3.5K | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$268 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$90 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.8K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 26¢ | 64¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$819 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.3K | 57¢ | 74¢ | +$390 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$42 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 6.5¢ | 5.5¢ | -$261 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $1.2K | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$33 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.3K | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$49 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $740 | 24¢ | 41¢ | +$511 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 40¢ | 23¢ | -$890 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $1.1K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $450 | 7.4¢ | 17¢ | +$580 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $859 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$119 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $969 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$10 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $644 | 58¢ | 80¢ | +$239 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $687 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$130 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $541 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$261 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 35¢ | 13¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $715 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$66 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $682 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$87 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $953 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$224 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $289 | 6.5¢ | 16¢ | +$411 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $602 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$56 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$611 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $509 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$17 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $534 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$74 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $596 | 77¢ | 57¢ | -$151 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $420 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $645 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$234 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $226 | 51¢ | 92¢ | +$180 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $384 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $431 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$67 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $203 | 38¢ | 65¢ | +$145 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $165 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$82 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $272 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$46 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $140 | 5.6¢ | 8.3¢ | +$66 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $183 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $169 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$3 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $743 | 22¢ | 4.9¢ | -$579 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $133 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$22 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $47 | 14¢ | 43¢ | +$97 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $127 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$9 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $658 | 2.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$560 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 23¢ | 81¢ | +$65 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $53 | 0.8¢ | 1.4¢ | +$36 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $83 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$6 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $111 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | -$23 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 30¢ | 63¢ | +$39 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $74 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $73 | 3.3¢ | 3.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $118 | 2.6¢ | 1.5¢ | -$53 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $54 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $421 | 18¢ | 2.1¢ | -$372 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $168 | 26¢ | 7.5¢ | -$120 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $848 | 13¢ | 0.7¢ | -$803 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $52 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.6K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $94 | 17¢ | 1.7¢ | -$85 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $219 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | -$213 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3.5K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.5K |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $136 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $959 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$959 |
 Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $185 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
| Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $672 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$672 |
 Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $125K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125K |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $672 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$672 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $85 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $981 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$981 |
 Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7.8K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.8K |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $524 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$524 |
 Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7.8K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.8K |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | NoResolved | $527 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$527 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Politics | YesResolved | $850 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$850 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $8.2K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.2K |
| Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $672 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$672 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $203 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$203 |
 Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7.8K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.8K |
 Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2.0K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $53K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53K |
