← Whale Watch

de5nuts

Predicting since Jul 2024306 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $194K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $32K across 4 Soccer (other) markets.

Biggest hit: +$52K on Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$23K85¢95¢+$2.7K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$11K25¢33¢+$3.3K
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$9.7K90¢89¢-$160
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$9.2K69¢56¢-$1.7K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$5.8K29¢26¢-$656
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.2K88¢99¢+$512
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.7K17¢25¢+$1.2K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.6K89¢92¢+$100
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.1K5.5¢16¢+$2.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$3.4K27¢18¢-$1.1K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.2K7.9¢14¢+$873
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$7.5K17¢4.2¢-$5.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K85¢85¢-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K56¢37¢-$360
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1500.5¢2.3¢+$525
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.1K14¢7.0¢-$542
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$74519¢8.5¢-$403
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$991.2¢2.1¢+$70
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1490.5¢0.5¢+$15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$42811¢3.6¢-$282
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1601.6¢0.9¢-$65
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$6642¢32¢-$16
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1512.1¢0.4¢-$118
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$64423¢0.0¢-$644
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$408.0¢0.0¢-$40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$1.8K59¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$16511¢0.0¢-$165
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$035¢0.0¢-$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K32¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3393.4¢0.0¢-$339
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$63520¢0.0¢-$635
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$872.9¢0.0¢-$87
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5.3K29¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1400.4¢0.0¢-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$6826.2¢0.0¢-$682
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$551.1¢0.0¢-$55
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1001.0¢0.0¢-$100
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1965.6¢0.0¢-$196
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$641.7¢0.0¢-$64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$30010¢0.0¢-$300
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$400.8¢0.0¢-$40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$1302.6¢0.0¢-$130
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2683.6¢0.0¢-$268
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEnglandResolved$21953¢0.0¢-$219
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$5076.8¢0.0¢-$507
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?PoliticsYesResolved$1407.0¢0.0¢-$140
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World CupSpainResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3772.9¢0.0¢-$377

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$194K
Crypto-$29K
World Cup+$29K
Premier League+$20K
Soccer (other)-$9.0K
Finance-$2.9K
Champions League+$1.2K
Culture+$971
La Liga+$765
Olympics+$485
Mentions-$400
Boxing-$15
Biggest hit
+$52K
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$31K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$2642h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$572h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$3582h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.5K20h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$16421h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$51023h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.4K1d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1.6K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$2092d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$2622d ago