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0xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-1772395966516

Predicting since Mar 2026256 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.0K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $13K riding on US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$11K38¢69¢+$9.1K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.4K25¢43¢+$2.4K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2.0K19¢44¢+$2.6K
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$4.6K45¢4.2¢-$4.2K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$36637¢33¢-$41
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$10045¢73¢+$61
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10057¢84¢+$46
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$10029¢36¢+$26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$5063¢76¢+$10
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$5080¢93¢+$8
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$9724¢13¢-$47
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$5238¢19¢-$27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$2071¢81¢+$3
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5012¢4.7¢-$31
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$1835¢27¢-$4
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsNo$570¢89¢+$1
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$312¢18¢+$2
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$485¢92¢+$0
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$480¢89¢+$0
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$123¢43¢+$1
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$238¢30¢-$0
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$96614¢0.0¢-$966
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$531.0¢0.0¢-$53
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$3082.9¢0.0¢-$308
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$91.5¢0.0¢-$9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$51034¢0.0¢-$510
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$36218¢0.0¢-$362
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.2K29¢0.0¢-$5.2K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$22611¢0.0¢-$226
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1106.7¢0.0¢-$110
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K28¢0.0¢-$1.8K
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$13K61¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1668.3¢0.0¢-$166
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$95015¢0.0¢-$950
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$21659¢0.0¢-$216
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?PoliticsYesResolved$976.4¢0.0¢-$97
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K23¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$201.4¢0.0¢-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1809.0¢0.0¢-$180
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$470¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$20080¢0.0¢-$200
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$110.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$606.8¢0.0¢-$60
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$250.7¢0.0¢-$25
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$5.9K33¢0.0¢-$5.9K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$593¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will Putin visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$907.2¢0.0¢-$90
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50011¢0.0¢-$500
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1259.7¢0.0¢-$125
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$220.4¢0.0¢-$22
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$21.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3015.4¢0.0¢-$301
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$532.7¢0.0¢-$53
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$33834¢0.0¢-$338
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K55¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$42840¢0.0¢-$428
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$40023¢0.0¢-$400
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$241.6¢0.0¢-$24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$171.2¢0.0¢-$17
Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$98.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?PoliticsYesResolved$1004.5¢0.0¢-$100
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?PoliticsNoResolved$1009.9¢0.0¢-$100
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$566¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$752.6¢0.0¢-$75
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$016¢0.0¢-$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$5043¢0.0¢-$50
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$6784.2¢0.0¢-$678
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$571.3¢0.0¢-$57
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1025.1¢0.0¢-$102
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$29013¢0.0¢-$290
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1279.9¢0.0¢-$127
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?PoliticsNoResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$60011¢0.0¢-$600
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$590¢0.0¢-$5
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1546.6¢0.0¢-$154
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4.1K16¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$3758.1¢0.0¢-$375
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$20046¢0.0¢-$200
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1709.0¢0.0¢-$170
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$60.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2225.0¢0.0¢-$222

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$8.0K
Soccer (other)-$1.6K
World Cup-$1.2K
Mentions-$328
Champions League+$2
Biggest hit
+$14K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$24K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$276d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$1976d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.1K7d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.7K7d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.8K18d ago