← Whale Watch

sweetj

Predicting since Dec 20253,022 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.1K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $14K across 4 Other sports markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$13K97¢100¢+$384
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$9.7K87¢62¢-$2.7K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6.5K78¢83¢+$439
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$6.4K98¢98¢+$7
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3.8K93¢96¢+$137
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 1?CultureYes$3.7K98¢99¢+$36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.1K93¢93¢-$19
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?Other sportsYes$2.4K93¢99¢+$161
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$2.1K64¢73¢+$314
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$1.6K100¢100¢+$6
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$1.3K92¢93¢+$11
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$1.3K90¢89¢-$20
Will LaTrice Verrett win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$1.2K94¢98¢+$53
Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$1.2K92¢95¢+$40
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$84871¢74¢+$42
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$87899¢100¢+$5
Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$84691¢92¢+$8
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$74497¢100¢+$26
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$71393¢96¢+$28
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$43721¢35¢+$300
Will Ashley Trail come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$70494¢98¢+$30
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$69869¢62¢-$76
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$50977¢83¢+$42
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$530100¢100¢+$1
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$44884¢99¢+$77
Will Haley Thogmartin come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$50594¢95¢+$5
Will Jason De Puy come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$49693¢95¢+$8
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?Other sportsNo$47595¢99¢+$22
Will Derek Shelton win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?MLBNo$46794¢97¢+$15
Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$45095¢100¢+$25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$51751¢42¢-$97
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsYes$18116¢36¢+$239
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBNo$24220¢34¢+$175
Will Taylor Brown come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$32794¢97¢+$10
Will Kamu Kirk come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$29992¢93¢+$2
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$28797¢100¢+$8
Will Davante Adams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?NFLNo$26586¢93¢+$22
Will Yash Patel come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$28592¢92¢-$2
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$18624¢34¢+$69
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsYes$26261¢59¢-$11
Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$25972¢69¢-$9
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$250100¢99¢-$1
Will Ashley Trail come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$23393¢98¢+$13
Will Rome Seymour come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$23092¢98¢+$14
Will Lyric Medeiros come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$23494¢95¢+$2
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$2179.7¢11¢+$17
Will Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other)No$21590¢95¢+$12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?FinanceUp$20367¢72¢+$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$21290¢92¢+$4
Will Haley Thogmartin win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$20995¢97¢+$4
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$21513¢13¢-$3
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?CultureNo$18755¢63¢+$24
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?MLBNo$19874¢76¢+$5
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBNo$24778¢65¢-$44
Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$17889¢95¢+$12
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$185100¢100¢+$0
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$185100¢99¢-$2
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$16884¢87¢+$6
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other)No$16491¢92¢+$2
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$15980¢82¢+$5
Will LaTrice Verrett come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$15292¢92¢-$1
Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup?eSportsNo$14775¢75¢-$1
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$13066¢75¢+$16
Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$14194¢95¢+$1
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$140100¢100¢-$0
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$13884¢85¢+$1
Will Rudy Moise be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$12798¢100¢+$3
Will Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$12583¢84¢+$0
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?Other sportsYes$11917¢17¢-$4
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?CultureYes$10648¢52¢+$8
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$7025¢40¢+$42
Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?NFLNo$11192¢93¢+$1
Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$5321¢44¢+$56
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$1616¢100¢+$84
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$831.0¢1.1¢+$12
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureNo$9058¢59¢+$2
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$74977¢9.4¢-$658
Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureNo$9093¢92¢-$0
Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$8376¢81¢+$5
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$8311¢11¢+$4
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$8484¢86¢+$2
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$8476¢78¢+$2
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$8391¢91¢-$0
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$5842¢57¢+$21
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$8484¢79¢-$5
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$8320¢18¢-$8
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$5150¢73¢+$23
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.5% in July?EconomyNo$7196¢100¢+$3
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?EconomyNo$6892¢100¢+$6
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.7% or more in July?EconomyNo$7195¢100¢+$3
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?PoliticsYes$6986¢92¢+$5
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 NTT IndyCar Series?Other sportsNo$7312¢12¢-$2
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$6253¢60¢+$8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1200.6¢0.4¢-$50
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueYes$655.5¢5.9¢+$4
Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$559.0¢11¢+$12
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$5757¢67¢+$10
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$679.6¢9.5¢-$1
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$6240¢42¢+$3
Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureNo$6081¢84¢+$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$4.1K
NBA-$4.1K
Culture+$2.4K
Crypto+$885
Olympics-$433
Soccer (other)+$425
Economy+$354
Tech-$276
MLB+$239
Formula 1+$187
Finance-$173
Other sports-$164
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$142m ago
  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$87742m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$25044m ago
  • Bought No · Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$14045m ago
  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1.6K50m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1057m ago
  • Bought No · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$5301h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$271h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$61h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$161h ago
  • Bought No · Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?$912h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$2232h ago