 Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | Yes | $396 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$366 |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $377 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$25 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $245 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$3 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $145 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $43 | 12¢ | 37¢ | +$90 |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $49 | 21¢ | 54¢ | +$78 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $21 | 2.4¢ | 13¢ | +$90 |
 Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $54 | 8.3¢ | 17¢ | +$53 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $88 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $88 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.8¢ | 76¢ | +$83 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $85 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $35 | 25¢ | 56¢ | +$44 |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $74 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $69 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.7¢ | 40¢ | +$46 |
 Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | NoResolved | $46 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.6K |
 Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 8.5¢ | +$38 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $15 | 7.7¢ | 20¢ | +$24 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.4K |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | Yes | $31 | 3.4¢ | 4.3¢ | +$8 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.3¢ | 20¢ | +$31 |
 Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.3K |
 Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.3K |
 Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.3K |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.3¢ | 21¢ | +$30 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $15 | 3.6¢ | 8.5¢ | +$20 |
 Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 12¢ | 25¢ | +$17 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $34 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2.1K |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $13 | 7.7¢ | 21¢ | +$21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | Yes | $4 | 2.8¢ | 22¢ | +$27 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 19¢ | +$28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $29 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.3¢ | 25¢ | +$25 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $35 | 72¢ | 60¢ | -$6 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $19 | 17¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
| Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $26 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | Yes | $15 | 2.8¢ | 4.5¢ | +$9 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $24 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.2¢ | 94¢ | +$20 |
 Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $22 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
 Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 57¢ | +$21 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 41¢ | +$11 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $16 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $23 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.3¢ | 8.5¢ | +$10 |
| Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $67 | 25¢ | 5.7¢ | -$52 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.5¢ | 4.3¢ | +$9 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | No | $6 | 28¢ | 62¢ | +$7 |
 Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $724 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$712 |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $33 | 21¢ | 7.5¢ | -$21 |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $12 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4.7K | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4.7K |
 Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHL | Yes | $6 | 2.6¢ | 5.5¢ | +$6 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 4.5¢ | +$11 |
 Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $689 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$678 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 12¢ | +$8 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $39 | 2.5¢ | 0.6¢ | -$30 |
 Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?NBA | Yes | $4 | 5.5¢ | 14¢ | +$5 |
 Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?College Football | Yes | $0 | 0.9¢ | 14¢ | +$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 40¢ | +$7 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.3¢ | 4.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
 Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $1.2K | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | Yes | $14 | 3.2¢ | 1.6¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 3.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$40 |
 Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.4¢ | 1.2¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 7.3¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $397 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$391 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $397 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$391 |
 Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.4¢ | 4.5¢ | +$4 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $367 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$361 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$4 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $234 | 2.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$228 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 3.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$41 |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $24 | 12¢ | 2.8¢ | -$19 |
| Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?College Football | Yes | $0 | 0.9¢ | 12¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | Yes | $32 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$27 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $305 | 3.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$300 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | No | $2 | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 3.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $285 | 3.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$281 |
 Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | -$4 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 3.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $4 | 64¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
Bought No · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$3.7K17m ago
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