Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $22K | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$1.9K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8.4K | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$1.5K |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $8.4K | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$582 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $4.1K | 20¢ | 43¢ | +$4.8K |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $8.1K | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$71 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $7.0K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$92 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.5K | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$427 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $7.1K | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$221 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$23 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5.8K | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$430 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.6K | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$170 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $4.7K | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$930 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.6K | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$757 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $3.3K | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$1.7K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $4.9K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $4.7K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$288 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 9.3¢ | 19¢ | +$2.5K |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $4.1K | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$19 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $3.9K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$35 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $3.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$20 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $3.8K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$139 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $3.2K | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$362 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $3.2K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $3.1K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$9 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $2.8K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$159 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$175 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.3K | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$426 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $2.8K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$15 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 44¢ | 33¢ | -$904 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$81 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $1.6K | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$23 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$187 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 63¢ | 65¢ | +$34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$241 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | Yes | $930 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $594 | 47¢ | 69¢ | +$288 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 38¢ | 27¢ | -$326 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $548 | 58¢ | 77¢ | +$185 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $624 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 32¢ | +$620 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Politics | No | $500 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $674 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$297 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $149 | 12¢ | 25¢ | +$155 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $254 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$13 |
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Politics | No | $240 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$4 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 6.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1.7K |
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $173 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $160 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $150 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$20 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 45¢ | 65¢ | +$39 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $109 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $111 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$46 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $62 | 2.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$11 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | Yes | $51 | 0.9¢ | 0.6¢ | -$18 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $34 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$15 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $375 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | -$368 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $43 | 4.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$38 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | Yes | $117 | 5.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$116 |
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $68 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.9K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $168 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $723 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$723 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $221 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $309 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$309 |
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $52 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $735 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$735 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $270 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Politics | YesResolved | $145 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $95 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $533 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$533 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8.8K | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.8K |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $235 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$235 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Politics | NoResolved | $55 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?World Cup | NoResolved | $90 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Derrick LewisResolved | $50 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $2.8K | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.1K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will France win the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $718 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$718 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $690 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$690 |
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Politics | NoResolved | $3.6K | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K |
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $230 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $319 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$319 |
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup | NoResolved | $68 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Argentina win the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $344 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$344 |