 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $37K | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$7.8K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $13K | 45¢ | 53¢ | +$2.3K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10K | 34¢ | 45¢ | +$3.1K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $12K | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $8.7K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$238 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8.1K | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$834 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $7.1K | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$167 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6.3K | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$747 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $5.9K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$112 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.1K | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$394 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $4.8K | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$202 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $5.2K | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$221 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4.7K | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$202 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $3.1K | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 37¢ | 79¢ | +$2.1K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$325 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$382 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$21 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$468 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$120 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $2.3K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$134 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $2.1K | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$89 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$343 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 9.3¢ | 7.5¢ | -$425 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$387 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 46¢ | 46¢ | -$12 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$156 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 49¢ | 61¢ | +$236 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $930 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$64 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 29¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2.3K |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.9K | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$996 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $715 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$149 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 5.2¢ | 2.9¢ | -$715 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$204 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $820 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$12 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $848 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$37 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $747 | 4.5¢ | 4.8¢ | +$47 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | Yes | $750 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$25 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 67¢ | 32¢ | -$636 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $541 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$21 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $441 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$30 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 8.8¢ | 3.4¢ | -$690 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $621 | 3.9¢ | 2.5¢ | -$216 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 5.7¢ | 1.8¢ | -$901 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics | No | $322 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$14 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $407 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$121 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $254 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $320 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$40 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $420 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$150 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Tech | Yes | $554 | 54¢ | 25¢ | -$302 |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Politics | No | $240 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $300 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$70 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $173 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$36 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 7.0¢ | 33¢ | +$156 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $163 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$12 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $381 | 20¢ | 8.5¢ | -$217 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$86 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | Yes | $523 | 26¢ | 8.0¢ | -$363 |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 45¢ | 66¢ | +$40 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $325 | 81¢ | 29¢ | -$208 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $674 | 13¢ | 1.8¢ | -$581 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $87 | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$4 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $220 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$130 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $247 | 2.5¢ | 0.8¢ | -$172 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$16 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $59 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$23 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$222 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | -$230 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | +$14 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$238 |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Politics | No | $22 | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$12 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 46¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $250 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$246 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $68 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.9K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $974 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$974 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $168 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
 Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $723 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$723 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Sold Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?$94723m ago