← Whale Watch
StoneMarble
Up $26K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.
Right now: $15K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.
Biggest hit: +$19K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $15K | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$1.6K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $8.3K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$376 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$22 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 46¢ | 23¢ | -$1.6K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $940 | 47¢ | 71¢ | +$470 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $997 | 59¢ | 75¢ | +$255 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $477 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$25 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $516 | 32¢ | 27¢ | -$92 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $469 | 24¢ | 9.5¢ | -$283 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $284 | 60¢ | 36¢ | -$113 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$26K
Crypto+$8.3K
Tech+$606
Economy+$470
Culture-$66
NHL+$10
Biggest hit
+$19K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Toughest beat
-$513
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent moves
- Bought No · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$3109h ago
- Sold No · Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?$2510h ago
- Bought No · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$710h ago
- Bought No · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$1310h ago
- Bought No · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$19210h ago
- Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2.1K10h ago
- Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.0K10h ago
- Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?$37320h ago
- Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$22022h ago
- Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$44022h ago
- Sold No · Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?$12d ago
- Bought Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$2603d ago