← Whale Watch

AAVVAA

Predicting since Jan 2025404 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Culture markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $9.3K riding on Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$10K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$9.3K36¢24¢-$3.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K43¢36¢-$284
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$37127¢19¢-$116
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$38020¢13¢-$143
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$498.1¢8.0¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$1536¢63¢+$11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsYes$168.0¢7.5¢-$1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$1516¢9.5¢-$6
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechNo$513¢13¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$83.1¢1.5¢-$4
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$51.0¢0.5¢-$2
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?MentionsNoResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1036¢0.0¢-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$589.3¢0.0¢-$58
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$95.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?WeatherYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?TechNoResolved$119.3¢0.0¢-$11
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$623.1¢0.0¢-$62
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World CupYesResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
Will Keir Starmer say "Tolerance" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$725¢0.0¢-$7
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?TechNoResolved$1002.5¢0.0¢-$100
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5012¢0.0¢-$50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$60.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Iran leadership change by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?PoliticsYesResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?WeatherYesResolved$1044¢0.0¢-$10
Will Vance say "Iraq" during Air Force Academy Address?MentionsNoResolved$564¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?MentionsNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google say "Flash" or "Flash-Lite" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will Dow say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$56.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during Air Force Academy Address?MentionsNoResolved$565¢0.0¢-$5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?PoliticsNoResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?PoliticsYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the earnings call not air?MentionsYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will MrBeast say "This Year" during his next video?MentionsYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$5065¢0.0¢-$50
Will King Charles's remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$34.8¢0.0¢-$3
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?TechNoResolved$101.4¢0.0¢-$10
Will Google say "NVIDIA" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Dow say "Iran" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$1.6K
Politics-$598
Mentions-$249
Other-$216
Weather-$175
Tech-$100
NFL-$37
Other sports+$34
World Cup-$20
Economy+$14
MLB-$10
Finance-$5
Biggest hit
+$10K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.4K
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$718h ago
  • Bought Yes · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?$1618h ago
  • Bought Yes · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? $518h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2819h ago
  • Bought Yes · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2319h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$161d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$53d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$153d ago
  • Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$653d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?$53d ago