← Whale Watch

881112

Predicting since Oct 20241,365 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $348K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $23K across 12 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$113K on Government shutdown on Saturday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.9K17¢50¢+$5.6K
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$7.1K85¢92¢+$507
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$89312¢86¢+$5.7K
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$5.9K37¢42¢+$677
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K51¢99¢+$3.0K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$4.0K58¢88¢+$2.1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K27¢93¢+$3.7K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.5K58¢86¢+$1.6K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.8K64¢93¢+$1.2K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.7K68¢94¢+$1.0K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.4K51¢66¢+$695
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1.9K71¢100¢+$776
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.8K26¢19¢-$1.1K
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K27¢45¢+$944
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K93¢99¢+$132
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.2K18¢12¢-$1.2K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2K45¢38¢-$369
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K95¢97¢+$35
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3375.1¢27¢+$1.4K
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$2.8K18¢12¢-$1.0K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K88¢91¢+$50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$65516¢42¢+$1.0K
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K97¢98¢+$21
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K72¢95¢+$380
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$2.1K81¢58¢-$576
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K25¢25¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K68¢56¢-$307
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K56¢56¢+$11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K57¢56¢-$11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.1K20¢20¢+$2
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$63060¢99¢+$413
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$70029¢41¢+$294
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$39338¢92¢+$564
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K36¢33¢-$108
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?PoliticsNo$58453¢83¢+$324
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K68¢57¢-$163
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$96782¢76¢-$80
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$79283¢92¢+$92
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$52355¢90¢+$336
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$44120¢38¢+$414
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$7686.8¢7.2¢+$54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$7058.1¢9.3¢+$100
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?PoliticsNoResolved$71892¢100¢+$62
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K15¢9.5¢-$434
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$749.9¢100¢+$676
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$51173¢100¢+$189
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$59184¢100¢+$107
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$43453¢84¢+$257
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$62154¢61¢+$69
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$9625.9¢4.0¢-$306
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$52459¢74¢+$129
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$39957¢88¢+$214
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$37863¢100¢+$222
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$27728¢60¢+$312
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$82457¢41¢-$238
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$45155¢71¢+$131
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35463¢97¢+$197
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?PoliticsNo$55893¢89¢-$24
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$35459¢89¢+$177
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$33656¢84¢+$168
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35462¢88¢+$146
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$47893¢93¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40423¢27¢+$68
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$32863¢89¢+$137
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18927¢65¢+$271
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$30215¢23¢+$154
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$45049¢45¢-$41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?FinanceNoResolved$26065¢100¢+$140
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22114¢25¢+$176
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$31880¢98¢+$73
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$17429¢61¢+$192
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3757.8¢7.5¢-$13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$26738¢51¢+$91
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$50484¢51¢-$201
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$32436¢34¢-$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$30197¢96¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$21371¢99¢+$85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$15536¢69¢+$142
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$1.3K49¢11¢-$1.0K
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$41736¢25¢-$125
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$28611¢12¢+$4
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K59¢5.1¢-$2.9K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$23112¢14¢+$37
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$10446¢98¢+$118
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$5.8K21¢0.8¢-$5.6K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$13823¢33¢+$60
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$8139¢92¢+$110
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K7.9¢0.9¢-$1.3K
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$5839¢100¢+$90
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsNoResolved$10682¢100¢+$23
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$22112¢7.0¢-$92
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1391.2¢1.1¢-$11
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3519¢60¢+$74
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$2727¢99¢+$72
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$50121¢4.1¢-$403
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K17¢1.5¢-$960
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$9656¢51¢-$9
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2916.4¢1.8¢-$211
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$18740¢17¢-$110
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7813¢11¢-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$348K
Mentions+$18K
NFL+$7.9K
World Cup+$7.4K
NBA+$6.1K
Other sports-$5.3K
Crypto+$4.6K
College Hoops+$4.1K
College Football-$2.6K
Weather-$1.9K
Finance-$1.4K
Tennis+$1.2K
Biggest hit
+$113K
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$15K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$27311h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$6.6K14h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$7914h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$115h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$2215h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$615h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$9415h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$515h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$1015h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2115h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$517h ago