 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $25K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$389 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $21K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$166 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $18K | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$289 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $12K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$248 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $11K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $11K | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$56 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $8.2K | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$1.5K |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.9K | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$716 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$370 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $5.7K | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$61 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $5.5K | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$156 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $4.2K | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$848 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $3.7K | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $4.5K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$56 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $4.3K | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$130 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $4.0K | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$79 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$112 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 50¢ | 37¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $3.4K | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$20 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $3.3K | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$77 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 31¢ | 54¢ | +$1.2K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$40 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 56¢ | 87¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$292 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$19 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 39¢ | 76¢ | +$1.3K |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2.4K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$34 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$154 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $2.2K | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$192 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $2.4K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$23 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $2.3K | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$55 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.8K | 71¢ | 88¢ | +$411 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$57 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$32 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 66¢ | 91¢ | +$501 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1.8K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $1.4K | 49¢ | 63¢ | +$380 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$2.1K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$1.6K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$146 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$109 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.7K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 7.7¢ | 7.8¢ | +$25 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$63 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $1.6K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$33 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 35¢ | 19¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $327 | 17¢ | 76¢ | +$1.2K |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$26 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 55¢ | 55¢ | -$12 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $1.2K | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$146 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $1.7K | 85¢ | 63¢ | -$430 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$127 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$81 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$30 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$195 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 9.7¢ | 8.5¢ | -$145 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$70 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $949 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$60 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 86¢ | 32¢ | -$1.7K |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5.1K | 48¢ | 8.8¢ | -$4.2K |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $567 | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$329 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $248 | 16¢ | 56¢ | +$625 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $769 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$60 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $720 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$71 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 44¢ | 23¢ | -$732 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | No | $437 | 12¢ | 21¢ | +$336 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $542 | 38¢ | 49¢ | +$151 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $663 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $464 | 65¢ | 93¢ | +$201 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $642 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$10 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $625 | 2.5¢ | 2.5¢ | +$10 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 36¢ | 22¢ | -$422 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $705 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$90 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $578 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$31 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $941 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$333 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $39 | 0.8¢ | 12¢ | +$553 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $634 | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$55 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $692 | 56¢ | 43¢ | -$171 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $506 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $847 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$402 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $431 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $425 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $521 | 44¢ | 37¢ | -$81 |
 Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $458 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$25 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $386 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$32 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $341 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$76 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $530 | 76¢ | 59¢ | -$122 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $957 | 34¢ | 14¢ | -$552 |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $438 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$34 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $367 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $336 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$40 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $280 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$81 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $299 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $289 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$9 |
 Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $250 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $247 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Finance | Yes | $71 | 7.0¢ | 25¢ | +$178 |
Sold Yes · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$861m ago
Sold No · Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$058m ago
MERGE Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?$2721h ago