 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $12K | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$427 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $8.6K | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$29 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6.6K | 66¢ | 75¢ | +$830 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 33¢ | 54¢ | +$2.0K |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 56¢ | 75¢ | +$1.3K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6.7K | 53¢ | 34¢ | -$2.4K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $20K | 8.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$17K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 80¢ | 59¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$50 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $2.3K | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$395 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$80 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $2.5K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$45 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $2.3K | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$315 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$171 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.8K | 90¢ | 83¢ | -$137 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 17¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1.2K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 5.7¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3.2K |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.5K | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$165 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 52¢ | 51¢ | -$30 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 58¢ | 27¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $780 | 19¢ | 23¢ | +$120 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $653 | 49¢ | 65¢ | +$213 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $770 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$90 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $822 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$60 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 46¢ | 22¢ | -$730 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $750 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$100 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 23¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1.0K |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $700 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$75 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $700 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$100 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $423 | 71¢ | 84¢ | +$73 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $440 | 44¢ | 49¢ | +$45 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $737 | 76¢ | 48¢ | -$272 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 2.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2.4K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 31¢ | 12¢ | -$642 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 42¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1.4K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 22¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $422 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$155 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $460 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$210 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $270 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$20 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 25¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1.5K |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $174 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$19 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $219 | 57¢ | 40¢ | -$65 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $210 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$75 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$70 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $82 | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$28 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | Yes | $291 | 3.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$227 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$10 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 31¢ | 13¢ | -$13 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 9.7¢ | 0.8¢ | -$102 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPolitics | SomethingResolved | $65 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.4K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $195 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.8K | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.8K |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $673 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$673 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $526 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$526 |
