← Whale Watch

mm4ker

Predicting since Dec 2025370 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $53K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $15K riding on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?.

Biggest hit: +$25K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15K75¢94¢+$3.7K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$8.4K84¢93¢+$850
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$5.0K87¢100¢+$735
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5.2K50¢36¢-$1.5K
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3.6K81¢82¢+$41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K71¢80¢+$357
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.0K71¢81¢+$408
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K80¢89¢+$240
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1.0K28¢68¢+$1.5K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K95¢99¢+$93
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K94¢98¢+$74
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1.7K74¢86¢+$253
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K76¢88¢+$189
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.0K35¢25¢-$600
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$100050¢56¢+$122
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$100041¢43¢+$32
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$70079¢99¢+$180
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$51065¢94¢+$218
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$36937¢69¢+$313
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$50083¢99¢+$96
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$50087¢99¢+$71
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$25055¢69¢+$66
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$20045¢69¢+$110
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$22158¢80¢+$80
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$25069¢56¢-$45
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechNo$50020¢8.0¢-$300
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$11523¢22¢-$7
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$30068¢18¢-$223
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$29064¢12¢-$238
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$20029¢7.5¢-$149
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4589¢99¢+$5
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$3085¢89¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?PoliticsYes$131.3¢2.6¢+$14
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsYes$5413¢4.5¢-$35
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$880¢87¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$53K
World Cup-$24K
Crypto+$24K
Champions League+$2.4K
Soccer (other)+$2.3K
Tech+$2.1K
MLS-$2.0K
Formula 1+$1.7K
Finance+$1.3K
NBA+$757
Mentions-$715
Premier League-$597
Biggest hit
+$25K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$16K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1.0K2h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$10002h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1301d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1251d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$2501d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$1.2K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.0K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$5.0K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.6K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4006d ago