 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $3.1K | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$187 |
 Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$46 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $2.0K | 60¢ | 89¢ | +$950 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $1.9K | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$724 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 31¢ | 48¢ | +$908 |
 Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Politics | No | $1.3K | 50¢ | 96¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $2.0K | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$248 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.3K | 2.8¢ | 4.5¢ | +$743 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 71¢ | 91¢ | +$407 |
 Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$188 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 61¢ | 81¢ | +$421 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $310 | 18¢ | 94¢ | +$1.3K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$254 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 55¢ | 29¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $476 | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$863 |
 Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 82¢ | +$1.0K |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $722 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$244 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | No | $32 | 3.2¢ | 94¢ | +$905 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $633 | 54¢ | 67¢ | +$147 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $153 | 17¢ | 77¢ | +$541 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $300 | 44¢ | 97¢ | +$356 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $395 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$70 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Politics | Yes | $405 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$46 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $373 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$8 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $250 | 70¢ | 98¢ | +$101 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $348 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$40 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $252 | 70¢ | 82¢ | +$41 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $389 | 66¢ | 49¢ | -$100 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | Yes | $569 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$281 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $227 | 34¢ | 41¢ | +$50 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $114 | 28¢ | 63¢ | +$141 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $333 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$90 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $750 | 20¢ | 5.1¢ | -$557 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $175 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$10 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $170 | 55¢ | 57¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $312 | 32¢ | 18¢ | -$142 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $173 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$19 |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Politics | No | $184 | 50¢ | 42¢ | -$31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $120 | 36¢ | 46¢ | +$32 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $221 | 74¢ | 45¢ | -$87 |
 Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 84¢ | +$131 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sports | No | $11 | 7.0¢ | 83¢ | +$118 |
 Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 4.0¢ | 19¢ | +$96 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $156 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$73 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $618 | 22¢ | 2.5¢ | -$546 |
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $147 | 11¢ | 5.1¢ | -$80 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Economy | Yes | $51 | 28¢ | 34¢ | +$11 |
 Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?Politics | Yes | $83 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$26 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $28 | 42¢ | 83¢ | +$28 |
 Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $22 | 1.0¢ | 2.3¢ | +$27 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $53 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$7 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 44¢ | +$31 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
 Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Politics | No | $19 | 43¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $1.4K | 75¢ | 1.6¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 11¢ | 8.2¢ | -$9 |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $46 | 11¢ | 5.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 3.1¢ | +$16 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 9.0¢ | 7.2¢ | -$5 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $21 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Politics | No | $25 | 3.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$10 |
 Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 49¢ | +$12 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $10 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 3.7¢ | 1.5¢ | -$16 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 34¢ | 58¢ | +$4 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 6.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$9 |
 Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $40 | 5.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$36 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $0 | 8.0¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 3.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?Economy | YesResolved | $18 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech | YesResolved | $32 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Culture | YesResolved | $95 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
 Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2.2K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech | NoResolved | $68 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $67 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $55 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $148 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $220 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |