← Whale Watch

Porx

Predicting since Oct 20242,331 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $11K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $4.9K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K84¢92¢+$200
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K89¢92¢+$50
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K96¢96¢+$9
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K42¢40¢-$96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K78¢81¢+$37
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsNo$71147¢69¢+$323
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$88889¢93¢+$42
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$64936¢51¢+$260
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$75685¢88¢+$28
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$79361¢56¢-$58
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$72598¢98¢+$5
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$71982¢82¢-$1
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$61998¢100¢+$13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$56651¢56¢+$45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$55893¢99¢+$38
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49282¢89¢+$39
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$44869¢80¢+$72
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$48196¢96¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$28737¢57¢+$156
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$43086¢88¢+$10
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$54520¢16¢-$119
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$52844¢33¢-$132
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$41059¢56¢-$15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$15120¢52¢+$242
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$32023¢28¢+$72
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$36892¢92¢+$0
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$33812¢13¢+$29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$12417¢47¢+$224
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in July?PoliticsNo$29598¢99¢+$1
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$25658¢66¢+$34
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?PoliticsNo$24183¢96¢+$37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27899¢99¢-$1
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23478¢90¢+$36
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$20063¢81¢+$60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21654¢65¢+$42
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25498¢99¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$15043¢69¢+$93
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14615¢24¢+$89
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$16929¢37¢+$45
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20298¢99¢+$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$19595¢99¢+$9
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$11138¢68¢+$88
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19195¢98¢+$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$17644¢46¢+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$18120¢20¢-$4
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$13668¢88¢+$39
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsNo$15075¢86¢+$22
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$16552¢53¢+$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$16324¢25¢+$3
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$12012¢17¢+$45
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? PoliticsYes$15113¢14¢+$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$15015¢16¢+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$15613¢13¢-$5
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsNo$10731¢43¢+$38
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$12311¢13¢+$20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$18615¢12¢-$44
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$12012¢13¢+$10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?PoliticsNo$12898¢99¢+$2
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?PoliticsNo$12799¢99¢+$1
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$14468¢60¢-$18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$13155¢51¢-$10
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsYes$20118¢11¢-$81
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$9815¢18¢+$16
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10314¢16¢+$8
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$1318.1¢6.5¢-$27
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$1647.6¢4.9¢-$59
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$9589¢91¢+$2
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9494¢96¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsNo$7638¢45¢+$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$4531¢61¢+$42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$8484¢84¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$9437¢34¢-$10
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5889¢98¢+$6
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$413.0¢4.5¢+$21
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$10412¢6.0¢-$52
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?PoliticsYes$5915¢13¢-$9
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?PoliticsNo$4077¢84¢+$4
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsYes$1311¢33¢+$26
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$70.6¢3.1¢+$29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?PoliticsYes$183.3¢6.5¢+$18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$2460¢80¢+$8
Macron out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3099¢100¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$48523¢1.1¢-$460
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$6123¢7.0¢-$42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$282.8¢1.8¢-$10
French election called by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1595¢99¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?PoliticsYes$3513¢5.5¢-$20
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$1393¢97¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?PoliticsYes$101.0¢1.3¢+$2
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$7619¢3.0¢-$64
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?PoliticsYes$6511¢1.8¢-$55
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$10920¢1.7¢-$100
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$844¢49¢+$1
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$773¢85¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?PoliticsYes$40.3¢0.5¢+$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$442.2¢0.4¢-$37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?PoliticsYes$122.8¢1.5¢-$6
António Guterres out by December 31?PoliticsNo$174¢77¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$74.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$13810¢0.0¢-$138

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$11K
Finance-$4.5K
Crypto+$1.1K
World Cup-$926
Champions League+$264
La Liga-$182
Soccer (other)-$87
eSports-$74
Economy-$49
Premier League+$25
Mentions+$18
Other+$14
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Toughest beat
-$826
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$515m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$8419m ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$44030m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$13844m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$7548m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$154m ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$354m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$354m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$5655m ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$857m ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1059m ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$11h ago