 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$250 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $3.4K | 67¢ | 80¢ | +$625 |
 LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Olympics | Yes | $4.1K | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$220 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3.7K | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$23 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.9K | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$141 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.7K | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$58 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $1.5K | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$371 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$73 |
 Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $1.6K | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$108 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $1.2K | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$426 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $1.6K | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$76 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | No | $1.4K | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$42 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $1.1K | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$192 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $1.2K | 66¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $981 | 46¢ | 56¢ | +$213 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $1.2K | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?Politics | No | $1000 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$149 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | No | $988 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$156 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$30 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | No | $835 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$71 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.3K | 42¢ | 26¢ | -$495 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $766 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$13 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $582 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$118 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $536 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$47 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $739 | 6.6¢ | 5.2¢ | -$161 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 35¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3.0K |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $467 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$66 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in July?Finance | No | $427 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $415 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$17 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 73¢ | 19¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 62¢ | 14¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $348 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$44 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $281 | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$59 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $372 | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$33 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $296 | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$22 |
 Will Chaz Molder be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $278 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $494 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$268 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Finance | No | $201 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
| Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | No | $817 | 81¢ | 20¢ | -$615 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 25¢ | 1.5¢ | -$3.2K |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $181 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $181 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$6 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech | No | $151 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Politics | No | $98 | 67¢ | 99¢ | +$47 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $117 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$15 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Politics | Yes | $236 | 1.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$108 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $286 | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$159 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?Mentions | No | $83 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$24 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $107 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?Politics | Yes | $124 | 92¢ | 71¢ | -$28 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $167 | 90¢ | 51¢ | -$73 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?Finance | Yes | $69 | 65¢ | 86¢ | +$22 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?Finance | Yes | $70 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?Finance | No | $65 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $260 | 46¢ | 12¢ | -$196 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?Finance | No | $59 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Finance | Yes | $4.8K | 24¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4.7K |
 Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $64 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 19¢ | 23¢ | +$9 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $564 | 24¢ | 2.1¢ | -$515 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 59¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $149 | 10¢ | 2.8¢ | -$108 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?Finance | No | $32 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?Finance | No | $24 | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | Yes | $248 | 5.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$222 |
 Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $10 | 33¢ | 85¢ | +$15 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $749 | 44¢ | 1.4¢ | -$726 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | Yes | $85 | 5.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$63 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $19 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in July?Finance | No | $33 | 41¢ | 19¢ | -$18 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 47¢ | +$6 |
| Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 57¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
| Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 40¢ | 63¢ | +$4 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Politics | Yes | $101 | 61¢ | 0.9¢ | -$100 |
 Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 2.1¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $400 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team VitalityResolved | $48 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 97¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $191 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$191 |
 Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifiereSports | HOTUResolved | $1.1K | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
