Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$17 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Tech | Yes | $4.4K | 91¢ | 79¢ | -$588 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$79 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 78¢ | 34¢ | -$2.7K |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $2.4K | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$402 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | Yes | $2.1K | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$273 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2.2K | 66¢ | 47¢ | -$650 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 36¢ | 39¢ | +$77 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$401 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $1.0K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$31 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Tech | No | $850 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$143 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$34 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$698 |
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $934 | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $840 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$43 |
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | No | $850 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$31 |
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | No | $774 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$51 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $582 | 57¢ | 66¢ | +$87 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $467 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$39 |
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $749 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$255 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $2.6K | 25¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2.1K |
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $406 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$51 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 87¢ | 14¢ | -$2.1K |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | No | $300 | 30¢ | 42¢ | +$115 |
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech | No | $389 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$6 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $68 | 17¢ | 93¢ | +$304 |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 18¢ | 59¢ | +$256 |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $372 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$29 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $480 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$140 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | Yes | $2.4K | 46¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2.1K |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $348 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$66 |
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | Yes | $491 | 28¢ | 16¢ | -$214 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $281 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$52 |
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $116 | 7.0¢ | 13¢ | +$100 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 73¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | Yes | $553 | 4.9¢ | 1.3¢ | -$412 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $104 | 67¢ | 90¢ | +$35 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?Politics | Yes | $124 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $34 | 7.0¢ | 26¢ | +$92 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $321 | 78¢ | 29¢ | -$202 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 35¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3.4K |
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?Tennis | No | $67 | 78¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $286 | 25¢ | 6.5¢ | -$211 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $82 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$8 |
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar SoormasCricket | Jalandhar Warriors | $52 | 40¢ | 50¢ | +$12 |
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | No | $33 | 66¢ | 89¢ | +$11 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $260 | 46¢ | 5.5¢ | -$229 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 59¢ | 38¢ | -$17 |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $167 | 90¢ | 14¢ | -$140 |
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $10 | 33¢ | 91¢ | +$17 |
Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 1.7¢ | +$22 |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $64 | 12¢ | 3.9¢ | -$43 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 62¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1.7K |
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$7 |
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $12 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | No | $6 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 40¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | +$4 |
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 13.5 Total CornersSoccer (other) | Over | $3 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 2.1¢ | -$6 |
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $186 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazTennis | Carlos AlcarazResolved | $3.3K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.3K |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $2.6K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $494 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$494 |
Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Champions League | OverResolved | $1.5K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.7K | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.7K |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $9.0K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.0K |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 150 and 199 Warzone deaths during the marathon?eSports | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $739 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$739 |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | NoResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $206 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$206 |