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Mr-Krabs

Predicting since Oct 2024719 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $74K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $20K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.4K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$16K95¢99¢+$600
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$11K81¢58¢-$3.0K
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.5K80¢90¢+$766
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$5.0K67¢90¢+$1.7K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.2K70¢68¢-$256
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.2K70¢80¢+$592
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.1K58¢80¢+$1.2K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.6K73¢73¢-$25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.3K75¢80¢+$198
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.9K83¢43¢-$2.9K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$2.5K63¢77¢+$556
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$2.3K76¢100¢+$717
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K84¢98¢+$422
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K89¢96¢+$206
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.1K78¢95¢+$436
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K89¢78¢-$342
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$1.7K50¢60¢+$314
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$3.0K43¢28¢-$1.0K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$1.5K88¢96¢+$131
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K52¢55¢+$64
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K88¢88¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.1K77¢46¢-$871
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.0K74¢79¢+$67
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$69267¢87¢+$201
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1.4K64¢39¢-$538
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$76076¢55¢-$215
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$71693¢50¢-$329
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$30696¢95¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$28890¢92¢+$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$74K
Culture+$9.9K
Tennis-$3.5K
Tech+$2.2K
Other sports+$1.9K
Boxing+$909
NFL+$891
Mentions+$331
NHL+$327
Formula 1-$261
Other+$55
NBA+$55
Biggest hit
+$5.4K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Toughest beat
-$16K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2.2K1h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.6K2h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.5K4h ago
  • Bought No · Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$87911h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$4.0K11h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2712h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$38817h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$517h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$517h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$34620h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$3661d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$3541d ago