← Whale Watch
Manzana698
Up $3.4K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.
Right now: $2.8K riding on Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$45 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.6K | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$214 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 92¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$24 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $1.3K | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$29 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$3.4K
Weather-$1.1K
Economy-$0
Biggest hit
+$628
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Toughest beat
-$972
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?
Recent moves
- Bought No · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?$1.3K7d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.3K7d ago- Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$73823d ago
- Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$2.6K23d ago
- Bought No · Iran leadership change by October 31?$2.0K23d ago
- Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$2.8K23d ago
Cashed out No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$73123d ago- Cashed out No · Iran leadership change by August 31?$4.7K23d ago
- Cashed out No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$2.0K23d ago
- Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.3K1mo ago
- Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$1.3K1mo ago
- Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$1.8K1mo ago