 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | No | $137 | 91¢ | 68¢ | -$35 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | No | $69 | 46¢ | 53¢ | +$10 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Weather | Yes | $78 | 52¢ | 46¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 47¢ | 39¢ | -$13 |
 Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 57¢ | -$24 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$11 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $57 | 76¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $56 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$6 |
 Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 74¢ | 62¢ | -$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $54 | 54¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Politics | No | $53 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $57 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$5 |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $61 | 81¢ | 68¢ | -$9 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | No | $62 | 72¢ | 58¢ | -$12 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $47 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $50 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$4 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | No | $60 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$14 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Politics | Yes | $55 | 42¢ | 35¢ | -$10 |
 Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 85¢ | 74¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $52 | 86¢ | 73¢ | -$8 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $54 | 90¢ | 73¢ | -$11 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $48 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$5 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $61 | 51¢ | 36¢ | -$18 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $52 | 86¢ | 72¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $50 | 84¢ | 72¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $50 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$8 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics | Yes | $59 | 59¢ | 41¢ | -$19 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 68¢ | -$8 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Economy | Yes | $10 | 6.6¢ | 27¢ | +$30 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Politics | Yes | $44 | 58¢ | 52¢ | -$5 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | No | $56 | 74¢ | 51¢ | -$18 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $32 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $34 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $46 | 76¢ | 56¢ | -$12 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $35 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $61 | 61¢ | 32¢ | -$29 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $35 | 59¢ | 53¢ | -$4 |
 Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 61¢ | 52¢ | -$6 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Weather | No | $45 | 50¢ | 34¢ | -$15 |
 Will Donald Martel win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $47 | 79¢ | 49¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | Yes | $41 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$11 |
 Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics | No | $44 | 74¢ | 49¢ | -$15 |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $32 | 75¢ | 67¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Tech | No | $29 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Politics | No | $29 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $30 | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$2 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $27 | 52¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $35 | 70¢ | 54¢ | -$8 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Tech | Yes | $50 | 67¢ | 36¢ | -$23 |
 Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $30 | 76¢ | 67¢ | -$4 |
 Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Politics | No | $30 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $38 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$11 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$11 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $37 | 74¢ | 53¢ | -$11 |
 Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 74¢ | 66¢ | -$3 |
 Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $26 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $28 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $21 | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $26 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 81¢ | 63¢ | -$7 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Politics | No | $32 | 53¢ | 42¢ | -$7 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $28 | 56¢ | 50¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?MLB | Yes | $24 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | No | $30 | 76¢ | 62¢ | -$6 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $24 | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Economy | No | $90 | 60¢ | 16¢ | -$66 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 54¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
 Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $31 | 52¢ | 40¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 35%-40%?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $31 | 78¢ | 59¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $24 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Weather | Yes | $32 | 54¢ | 39¢ | -$9 |
 Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?Politics | No | $23 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
 Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | Yes | $38 | 63¢ | 38¢ | -$15 |
 Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Finance | No | $24 | 81¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
 Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Politics | No | $25 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
 Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 70¢ | 55¢ | -$6 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 65¢ | 37¢ | -$17 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $22 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Tech | Yes | $22 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | No | $26 | 66¢ | 54¢ | -$5 |