← Whale Watch

randomWalkingShrimp

Predicting since Jul 20241,741 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.6K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $4.1K riding on Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on TikTok banned in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$4.1K90¢94¢+$198
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.1K83¢92¢+$241
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K91¢93¢+$64
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢100¢+$86
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K95¢99¢+$61
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K65¢78¢+$197
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K49¢51¢+$36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K71¢68¢-$52
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?OtherNo$83673¢84¢+$122
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$74872¢78¢+$58
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$75269¢67¢-$30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?PoliticsNo$53965¢86¢+$179
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?PoliticsNo$54471¢86¢+$108
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$56794¢97¢+$17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$56687¢89¢+$10
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$55597¢98¢+$4
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsYes$32344¢75¢+$228
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$46277¢80¢+$15
Human moon landing in 2026?TechNo$41792¢98¢+$30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$38440¢44¢+$33
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36192¢98¢+$25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$38960¢57¢-$16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$27740¢44¢+$28
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$24585¢98¢+$37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25089¢92¢+$8
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$21581¢91¢+$24
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$23679¢78¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?PoliticsNo$18469¢88¢+$50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$26213¢8.5¢-$88
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$14390¢99¢+$16
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$10965¢87¢+$36
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11598¢100¢+$2
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$12462¢56¢-$11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?PoliticsNo$8571¢92¢+$25
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by August 31?PoliticsNo$9586¢98¢+$13
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?PoliticsNo$8989¢97¢+$8
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?PoliticsNo$9196¢98¢+$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?PoliticsNo$7668¢81¢+$15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?PoliticsNo$6162¢90¢+$27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?PoliticsNo$7174¢88¢+$13
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8028¢30¢+$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$8181¢82¢+$1
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$3030¢79¢+$49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$7179¢88¢+$8
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?PoliticsYes$7876¢72¢-$4
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsYes$5860¢72¢+$11
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$6082¢93¢+$7
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsNo$7865¢56¢-$11
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4767¢90¢+$16
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$5273¢86¢+$9
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsYes$4716¢20¢+$14
Will 8–9 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?PoliticsNo$5092¢99¢+$4
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$4235¢44¢+$10
Graham Platner charged by August 31?PoliticsNo$5093¢96¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$8787¢51¢-$36
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4794¢99¢+$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$4894¢96¢+$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4386¢91¢+$2
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6835¢21¢-$27
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$3074¢96¢+$9
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2582¢95¢+$4
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$2789¢92¢+$1
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?PoliticsNo$2582¢88¢+$2
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$1515¢22¢+$6
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1678¢100¢+$4
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1993¢99¢+$1
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$1996¢97¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?PoliticsNo$1889¢96¢+$1
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?PoliticsNo$1681¢93¢+$2
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1786¢93¢+$1
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsYes$1681¢91¢+$2
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?WeatherNo$1680¢88¢+$2
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1261¢87¢+$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$51.5¢3.8¢+$7
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$119.0¢10¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3713¢3.9¢-$26
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsYes$935¢40¢+$1
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1113¢11¢-$2
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?PoliticsYes$5428¢4.5¢-$46
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$638¢51¢+$2
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsYes$550¢67¢+$2
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$553¢60¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?FinanceYes$72.2¢1.9¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?PoliticsNo$469¢84¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$521¢18¢-$1
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?PoliticsYes$22.0¢3.6¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$438¢33¢-$1
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$24.0¢3.4¢-$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$113¢12¢-$0
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6985¢0.0¢-$69
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?PoliticsNoResolved$987¢0.0¢-$9
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$643¢0.0¢-$6
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8931¢0.0¢-$89
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$882¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$18722¢0.0¢-$187
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4481¢0.0¢-$44
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
US government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K38¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$53028¢0.0¢-$530

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$5.6K
Crypto+$779
Other+$272
Culture+$225
Tech+$203
Mentions+$170
NFL+$129
Finance-$66
Weather-$11
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
TikTok banned in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$14h ago
  • Bought No · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$487h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$11312h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$113h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$113h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$7715h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?$316h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?$316h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?$2716h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?$4616h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$46217h ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$201d ago