Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.4K | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$161 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$19 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | No | $2.2K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$468 |
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$48 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $943 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$50 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $439 | 49¢ | 81¢ | +$286 |
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $479 | 42¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $383 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $581 | 65¢ | 44¢ | -$185 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $314 | 70¢ | 84¢ | +$62 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $320 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $201 | 53¢ | 81¢ | +$103 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $251 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$10 |
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $257 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $369 | 46¢ | 32¢ | -$117 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $190 | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$17 |
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Politics | Yes | $226 | 49¢ | 43¢ | -$27 |
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $168 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$26 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $176 | 35¢ | 38¢ | +$11 |
Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $128 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $321 | 26¢ | 12¢ | -$181 |
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $706 | 44¢ | 8.5¢ | -$568 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Finance | No | $119 | 52¢ | 59¢ | +$17 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $338 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$208 |
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $94 | 49¢ | 64¢ | +$28 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $114 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | Yes | $198 | 54¢ | 32¢ | -$82 |
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Politics | Yes | $103 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$11 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $112 | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Politics | No | $82 | 42¢ | 56¢ | +$28 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $103 | 55¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$14 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $110 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$16 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$9 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $62 | 62¢ | 82¢ | +$20 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $69 | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$11 |
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 35¢ | 28¢ | -$18 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Politics | No | $67 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 24¢ | 71¢ | +$44 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $63 | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $99 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$35 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $64 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 25¢ | 34¢ | +$16 |
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $61 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$11 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $54 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $41 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$8 |
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $67 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$20 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Finance | No | $27 | 15¢ | 26¢ | +$17 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $46 | 2.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$5 |
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Politics | Yes | $108 | 24¢ | 8.5¢ | -$70 |
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 19¢ | 26¢ | +$10 |
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?Politics | No | $25 | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$13 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $34 | 34¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $35 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 33¢ | +$9 |
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Politics | No | $31 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $34 | 34¢ | 29¢ | -$5 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?Politics | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 27¢ | +$15 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$8 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 34¢ | 23¢ | -$11 |
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics | Yes | $18 | 5.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$8 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberPolitics | Something | $20 | 9.8¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 77¢ | 60¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Politics | No | $38 | 8.6¢ | 2.7¢ | -$26 |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Politics | Yes | $15 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $11 | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $88 | 49¢ | 5.9¢ | -$77 |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 2.4¢ | 1.4¢ | -$7 |
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Politics | No | $5 | 59¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $23 | 5.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$18 |
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 12¢ | 3.5¢ | -$12 |
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 11¢ | 2.4¢ | -$16 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 4.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$13 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.9¢ | 1.7¢ | -$5 |
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Politics | Lula | $44 | 15¢ | 0.4¢ | -$43 |