← Whale Watch

asterley

Predicting since Jan 2026891 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.4K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $2.5K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K81¢89¢+$157
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$86074¢76¢+$17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$27086¢78¢-$26
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNo$22287¢91¢+$8
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$13933¢48¢+$60
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18394¢99¢+$10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19949¢45¢-$20
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15017¢20¢+$24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19557¢51¢-$23
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$13665¢77¢+$24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$15448¢44¢-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$13294¢94¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$18172¢50¢-$55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$6834¢57¢+$46
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsNo$15246¢34¢-$41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$12429¢24¢-$22
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$10567¢63¢-$6
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$6950¢66¢+$21
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17151¢26¢-$85
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$8825¢25¢-$2
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8863¢61¢-$4
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11022¢15¢-$33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$5311¢16¢+$22
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5727¢32¢+$9
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsNo$3864¢99¢+$21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6315¢13¢-$9
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4783¢92¢+$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$4677¢82¢+$3
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4074¢90¢+$8
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$4277¢88¢+$6
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4387¢95¢+$4
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$9726¢13¢-$50
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?PoliticsYes$5452¢43¢-$10
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$556.8¢5.5¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2554¢95¢+$19
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$4833¢30¢-$4
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?PoliticsNo$3749¢57¢+$6
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$3132¢45¢+$12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2530¢50¢+$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$3726¢28¢+$3
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2666¢98¢+$13
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsNo$4149¢45¢-$4
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$4315¢13¢-$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$419.8¢8.5¢-$6
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1115¢48¢+$24
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$3443¢44¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsYes$3146¢51¢+$3
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3089¢97¢+$3
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3262¢63¢+$0
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$2453¢72¢+$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3145¢46¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$215.8¢8.5¢+$10
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3420¢18¢-$4
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsNo$2232¢43¢+$7
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)Yes$2159¢75¢+$6
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2523¢23¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$2078¢91¢+$3
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? PoliticsYes$2615¢14¢-$3
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2137¢41¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$2216¢16¢-$1
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$71.0¢3.1¢+$15
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1927¢28¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1955¢56¢+$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$1233¢56¢+$8
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1928¢29¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1438¢52¢+$5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$1013¢23¢+$7
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$172.3¢2.4¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$185.3¢4.8¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1214¢21¢+$5
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?OtherYes$1755¢47¢-$2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?PoliticsYes$5518¢4.5¢-$42
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4024¢8.0¢-$27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1283¢93¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsYes$2739¢17¢-$16
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsYes$616¢30¢+$5
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1817¢10¢-$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$2119¢9.3¢-$11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$104.9¢4.9¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1058¢56¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$1924¢13¢-$9
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1343¢30¢-$4
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?PoliticsYes$915¢15¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1335¢25¢-$4
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsYes$519¢32¢+$4
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsYes$1065¢55¢-$2
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsYes$1110¢7.5¢-$3
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?PoliticsYes$3722¢4.0¢-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$811¢9.5¢-$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$619¢21¢+$1
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$827¢22¢-$2
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?PoliticsNo$665¢67¢+$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$646¢52¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1213¢6.5¢-$6
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$537¢50¢+$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1115¢8.5¢-$5
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$811¢7.5¢-$3
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$713¢9.0¢-$2
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$835¢20¢-$4
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$519¢19¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.4K
eSports-$1.0K
World Cup-$733
La Liga-$703
Soccer (other)+$343
Premier League+$232
Finance-$75
Bundesliga+$23
Mentions-$13
Tech-$11
Champions League-$10
Crypto-$6
Biggest hit
+$417
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$1.7K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$1529m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$530m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$937m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$137m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$1321h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$62h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$53h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$63h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$73h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-07-26?$223h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$93h ago