← Whale Watch

tetrose

Predicting since Apr 2025548 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $419K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $72K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$522K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49K95¢100¢+$2.4K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23K55¢88¢+$14K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$36K71¢73¢+$637
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.7K3.6¢52¢+$23K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$21K91¢99¢+$2.0K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$26K11¢9.5¢-$3.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$30K22¢16¢-$8.0K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$3.6K8.9¢42¢+$14K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$11K69¢95¢+$4.0K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$11K75¢94¢+$2.7K
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$10K52¢69¢+$3.2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$6.5K38¢69¢+$5.3K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechNo$7.6K11¢16¢+$3.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$14K9.9¢6.3¢-$5.2K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$6.6K26¢34¢+$2.1K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.1K18¢50¢+$5.4K
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.9K95¢99¢+$351
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.9K99¢99¢+$66
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.2K95¢99¢+$326
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.5K66¢86¢+$1.7K
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.3K96¢99¢+$198
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.9K96¢100¢+$228
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8.4K13¢8.0¢-$3.4K
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.5K95¢99¢+$208
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$6.8K7.4¢4.7¢-$2.5K
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$5.5K8.6¢6.5¢-$1.4K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6.0K13¢8.5¢-$2.1K
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$2.4K8.6¢14¢+$1.5K
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.4K94¢99¢+$181
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.1K14¢12¢-$669
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$2.1K59¢88¢+$990
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5.7K17¢8.5¢-$2.9K
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K19¢25¢+$611
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢13¢+$2.4K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢12¢+$2.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K23¢25¢+$193
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$4.6K6.8¢3.3¢-$2.4K
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.7K3.6¢4.0¢+$183
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢8.8¢+$1.6K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.0K20¢11¢-$1.3K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2.0K25¢20¢-$404
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K98¢99¢+$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$5.8K46¢11¢-$4.4K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K20¢11¢-$951
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceYes$4.3K4.8¢1.1¢-$3.3K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢4.9¢+$814
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.1K2.5¢0.8¢-$2.2K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K26¢19¢-$332
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K12¢8.3¢-$398
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceYes$1.5K2.3¢0.9¢-$898
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢2.6¢+$374
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$68186¢66¢-$162
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$32129¢44¢+$166
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$97315¢7.5¢-$487
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢2.4¢+$314
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$86814¢7.5¢-$403
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsYes$76116¢8.5¢-$357
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$56546¢33¢-$166
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$2.0K1.9¢0.4¢-$1.6K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.6¢+$154
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.6¢+$154
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$18560¢98¢+$117
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.5¢+$134
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$28198¢99¢+$4
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.1¢+$74
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.1¢+$74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceYes$1.6K3.8¢0.5¢-$1.3K
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.7K3.6¢0.4¢-$1.5K
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.1¢+$54
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢1.1¢+$54
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K7.0¢1.3¢-$892
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$16571¢86¢+$34
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.9¢+$34
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.9K2.5¢0.3¢-$1.7K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$780.8¢1.8¢+$107
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.9K2.6¢0.3¢-$1.7K
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.9¢+$14
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$16915¢14¢-$17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$18510¢7.9¢-$43
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.8K3.2¢0.3¢-$1.6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?FinanceYes$4330.8¢0.3¢-$296
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.7¢-$26
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.7¢-$26
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.7¢-$26
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.7¢-$26
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.7¢-$26
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.7¢-$26
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K18¢1.5¢-$1.5K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$12885¢85¢+$0
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.7K3.6¢0.3¢-$1.6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceYes$4911.3¢0.3¢-$380
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.5¢-$46
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.5¢-$46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceYes$3919¢47¢+$57
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.8K2.9¢0.1¢-$1.7K
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.4¢-$66
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1560.8¢0.4¢-$66
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$1661.3¢0.7¢-$79
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.7K3.6¢0.1¢-$1.7K
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.7K3.6¢0.1¢-$1.7K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$419K
Finance+$23K
Tech+$21K
UFC / MMA-$14K
Crypto-$13K
Culture+$6.7K
Economy-$2.0K
Mentions+$1.8K
Weather+$800
World Cup+$292
NFL-$48
NBA-$3
Biggest hit
+$522K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$43K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1275m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15m ago
  • CONVERSION Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$56K2h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$22h ago
  • MERGE Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$43K9h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.9K9h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2699h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5010h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1410h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3210h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$510h ago