← Whale Watch

TheKinginYellow

Predicting since Aug 20241,418 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.4K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $1.8K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.9K on England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K77¢81¢+$73
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K96¢97¢+$3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$93382¢91¢+$96
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$90579¢86¢+$77
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$71983¢89¢+$48
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?TechNo$69476¢84¢+$73
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$68084¢88¢+$33
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?TechNo$64483¢84¢+$6
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$57075¢84¢+$62
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$51586¢97¢+$68
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50079¢89¢+$60
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$50079¢83¢+$25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$49694¢98¢+$26
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?GolfNo$40074¢94¢+$105
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$50089¢88¢-$8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$70135¢25¢-$211
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$42270¢81¢+$67
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$50070¢63¢-$50
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$40280¢89¢+$44
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$50087¢75¢-$68
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$40078¢79¢+$5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$37694¢95¢+$3
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$40781¢76¢-$29
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$29773¢87¢+$55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$28082¢95¢+$43
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherNo$24165¢86¢+$76
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?TechNo$31383¢84¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$28479¢88¢+$31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$7319¢82¢+$234
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$29699¢99¢+$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$28093¢95¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$25029¢33¢+$30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$25078¢87¢+$29
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$24966¢71¢+$18
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$27491¢89¢-$7
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$25096¢96¢-$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$25088¢88¢-$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$24498¢99¢+$4
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$22891¢98¢+$19
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoNo$22389¢98¢+$22
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$22389¢90¢+$1
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?CultureNo$20790¢94¢+$10
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$15574¢97¢+$50
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$19798¢99¢+$2
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?TechNo$23265¢54¢-$38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18894¢94¢-$1
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$20083¢75¢-$19
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$15678¢88¢+$20
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$16689¢91¢+$2
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15075¢84¢+$17
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$15075¢80¢+$10
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$23679¢49¢-$89
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsNo$13383¢88¢+$7
Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?PoliticsNo$12580¢88¢+$13
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13697¢97¢-$1
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$10047¢63¢+$32
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$11693¢96¢+$3
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$7450¢75¢+$37
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?CultureNo$10079¢85¢+$8
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$10098¢99¢+$0
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?PoliticsYes$9519¢20¢+$5
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$9595¢96¢+$1
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$9393¢93¢-$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$29571¢19¢-$218
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsNo$6285¢96¢+$8
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$1005.8¢4.1¢-$29
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$10653¢34¢-$38
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$5617¢20¢+$10
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5786¢97¢+$7
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$7074¢65¢-$8
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$13928¢11¢-$84
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$4454¢67¢+$10
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$5025¢24¢-$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$7251¢31¢-$28
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$10015¢6.5¢-$57
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$5528¢22¢-$12
3M Open: Hole-in-One?GolfNo$3165¢81¢+$8
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsYes$5935¢17¢-$31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$2436¢37¢+$0
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4169¢35¢-$20
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$1997¢97¢-$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$1592¢98¢+$1
Will David Hockney be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$1292¢98¢+$1
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$675¢80¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$46357¢0.7¢-$457
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$597¢97¢+$0
Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$37575¢0.4¢-$373
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?World CupNoResolved$629¢0.0¢-$6
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$1007.1¢0.0¢-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$5044¢0.0¢-$50
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20043¢0.0¢-$200
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$20073¢0.0¢-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?World CupNoResolved$6543¢0.0¢-$65
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij RodionovTennisTitouan DroguetResolved$11061¢0.0¢-$110
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$5027¢0.0¢-$50
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$12832¢0.0¢-$128
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$253.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?World CupNoResolved$4344¢0.0¢-$43

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.4K
Crypto-$2.1K
Tech+$1.9K
Tennis+$1.7K
World Cup+$1.6K
Culture-$786
Golf+$410
NBA+$347
NFL+$336
Other-$290
Champions League+$210
Weather+$191
Biggest hit
+$1.9K
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Toughest beat
-$2.7K
Will Trump list Los Zetas as a terrorist organization before April?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?$37915h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$6071d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24?$2001d ago
  • Bought No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$1341d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$2381d ago
  • Sold No · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$311d ago
  • Bought No · 3M Open: Hole-in-One?$101d ago
  • Bought No · 3M Open: Hole-in-One?$171d ago
  • Bought No · 3M Open: Hole-in-One?$41d ago
  • Bought No · Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1972d ago
  • Bought No · Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$222d ago
  • Bought No · Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$352d ago