 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.3K | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$89 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $1.1K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $726 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $732 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$39 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tech | No | $694 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$68 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $640 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$89 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Tech | No | $644 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $482 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $405 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$46 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $371 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$54 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $904 | 31¢ | 13¢ | -$541 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $275 | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$71 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $354 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$12 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $301 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$30 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $285 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $284 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | No | $276 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $227 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$39 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $220 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$39 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $194 | 66¢ | 88¢ | +$63 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $204 | 72¢ | 89¢ | +$48 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $191 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$38 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $168 | 39¢ | 53¢ | +$58 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $205 | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$19 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $335 | 67¢ | 45¢ | -$113 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $181 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$39 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $194 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$18 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | No | $150 | 46¢ | 64¢ | +$59 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $129 | 49¢ | 79¢ | +$78 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $155 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$52 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $243 | 36¢ | 30¢ | -$44 |
 Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Culture | No | $188 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $150 | 5.1¢ | 6.7¢ | +$46 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $148 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$47 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $409 | 26¢ | 13¢ | -$215 |
 Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | No | $175 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $163 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $158 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$31 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $200 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$12 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $175 | 35¢ | 37¢ | +$8 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $166 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $172 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$4 |
 US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $150 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $136 | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$24 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $146 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$9 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $146 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $147 | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $150 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$13 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$81 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $106 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
 Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $119 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $101 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $85 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $95 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $57 | 50¢ | 67¢ | +$20 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$8 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | Yes | $43 | 25¢ | 38¢ | +$22 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $57 | 9.5¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $32 | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $24 | 36¢ | 54¢ | +$12 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $295 | 71¢ | 8.0¢ | -$262 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $28 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $106 | 53¢ | 11¢ | -$85 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 69¢ | 35¢ | -$20 |
 Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $56 | 17¢ | 4.2¢ | -$42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $100 | 15¢ | 1.8¢ | -$88 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $11 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $375 | 75¢ | 1.6¢ | -$367 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $176 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $55 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?Politics | YesResolved | $125 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | YesResolved | $250 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
Sold No · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$1061d ago
Sold No · US strike on Mexico by December 31?$901d ago
Sold Yes · Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?$841d ago
Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$751d ago