← Whale Watch

Copezilla

Predicting since Jan 2026991 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $12K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $20K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.1K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$9.5K50¢80¢+$5.7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4.0K99¢99¢-$4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9.5K50¢20¢-$5.7K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$4.4K60¢50¢-$791
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K85¢95¢+$193
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2.6K51¢35¢-$817
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceYes$2.4K45¢31¢-$745
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K89¢95¢+$95
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2.4K41¢26¢-$914
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K84¢81¢-$52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.0K32¢36¢+$114
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K91¢95¢+$43
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9875.1¢5.1¢-$10
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$76376¢84¢+$72
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.4K40¢22¢-$650
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.6K25¢12¢-$853
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$72973¢74¢+$6
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$88414¢12¢-$160
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$75213¢12¢-$43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?FinanceYes$2.1K62¢21¢-$1.4K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4008.0¢14¢+$288
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$62062¢69¢+$65
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$57477¢92¢+$107
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$53371¢88¢+$128
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$50050¢63¢+$125
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$77869¢54¢-$165
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$55022¢24¢+$50
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$50193¢98¢+$31
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$45686¢88¢+$15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$42084¢86¢+$8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$53947¢36¢-$130
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$4673.3¢2.9¢-$64
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$50425¢20¢-$111
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNo$40581¢76¢-$25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$65215¢8.5¢-$279
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$47017¢14¢-$99
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3154.5¢5.1¢+$46
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$30010¢12¢+$60
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$37525¢24¢-$23
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$35972¢71¢-$6
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$46861¢45¢-$120
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$35035¢34¢-$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2085.2¢8.5¢+$132
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$25679¢93¢+$42
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$24549¢56¢+$32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2802.8¢2.6¢-$15
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$26187¢88¢+$2
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2430.8¢0.9¢+$15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34034¢24¢-$105
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$36718¢12¢-$134
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24983¢69¢-$42
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$18361¢67¢+$16
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?CryptoYes$16257¢68¢+$30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18291¢92¢+$1
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$16579¢84¢+$11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyYes$38128¢13¢-$212
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$18190¢82¢-$17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$17889¢81¢-$15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3302.2¢1.1¢-$173
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$21522¢15¢-$61
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1010.3¢0.4¢+$50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceYes$56337¢9.5¢-$418
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2561.7¢0.9¢-$116
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$2158.6¢5.6¢-$75
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1200.5¢0.5¢+$18
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1561.3¢1.1¢-$18
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1010.3¢0.4¢+$17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$13013¢12¢-$15
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1000.4¢0.4¢+$12
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$8127¢31¢+$10
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1010.3¢0.3¢-$17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1067.0¢5.5¢-$23
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1100.2¢0.1¢-$28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?FinanceYes$22515¢4.5¢-$158
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$9739¢27¢-$30
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$12012¢6.5¢-$55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$8729¢18¢-$34
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1010.3¢0.1¢-$50
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1010.3¢0.1¢-$50
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1010.3¢0.1¢-$50
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$4896¢95¢-$0
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$502.3¢2.1¢-$5
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?PoliticsYes$10933¢12¢-$71
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$14028¢7.0¢-$105

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$12K
Crypto+$3.0K
Finance-$3.0K
Economy-$667
Tech+$577
World Cup-$352
Mentions-$321
Soccer (other)-$170
Golf-$141
College Hoops-$130
Weather-$121
Culture+$119
Biggest hit
+$6.1K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$671
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1131d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2251d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$371d ago
  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0K1d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$791d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$161d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$61d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$161d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$491d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$13d ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$6153d ago