 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.2K | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$89 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.0K | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$69 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $879 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $676 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$86 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $662 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$30 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $657 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$28 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $597 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$43 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $528 | 65¢ | 71¢ | +$44 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $416 | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$35 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $423 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $310 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $227 | 34¢ | 46¢ | +$76 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $270 | 33¢ | 32¢ | -$12 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $297 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$42 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $304 | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$82 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $242 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $189 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $245 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$73 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $185 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $157 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$4 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $148 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $101 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $170 | 20¢ | 12¢ | -$72 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $90 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$9 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $48 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $44 | 43¢ | 51¢ | +$8 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | Yes | $35 | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$16 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 58¢ | 80¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 7.3¢ | 12¢ | +$10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | No | $52 | 6.7¢ | 3.2¢ | -$27 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 3.3¢ | 2.9¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $13 | 59¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 68¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 42¢ | 26¢ | -$5 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 29¢ | 7.0¢ | -$23 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 1.1¢ | -$15 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $156 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$156 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $682 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$682 |
Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$212h ago