0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE4211

Predicting since Mar 2026216 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.5K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $2.8K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$2.8K	59¢	83¢	+$1.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$2.6K	83¢	84¢	+$5
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech	No	$1.0K	74¢	96¢	+$290
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics	No	$1.8K	37¢	16¢	-$1.0K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$597	75¢	84¢	+$75
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics	No	$528	17¢	18¢	+$16
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$335	63¢	94¢	+$165
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics	No	$92	33¢	65¢	+$88
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$289	32¢	17¢	-$140
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$185	22¢	14¢	-$64
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$118	73¢	74¢	+$1
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics	No	$177	65¢	39¢	-$72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$245	35¢	14¢	-$144
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$71	5.8¢	5.3¢	-$6
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$297	22¢	4.5¢	-$236
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$170	20¢	5.5¢	-$123
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$41	25¢	27¢	+$2
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$161	31¢	5.5¢	-$132
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics	Yes	$42	21¢	8.5¢	-$25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	No	$22	10¢	6.8¢	-$8
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$28	3.3¢	1.6¢	-$15
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$6	15¢	12¢	-$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	Yes	$17	26¢	3.5¢	-$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics	No	$1.4K	66¢	0.1¢	-$1.4K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	YesResolved	$24	23¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1.4K	20¢	0.0¢	-$1.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$6	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$10	6.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$27	33¢	0.0¢	-$27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$61	11¢	0.0¢	-$61
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$12	13¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$156	17¢	0.0¢	-$156
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$30	29¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$682	66¢	0.0¢	-$682
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 4?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	13¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics	NoResolved	$199	6.1¢	0.0¢	-$199
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$16	16¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$44	43¢	0.0¢	-$44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	13¢	0.0¢	-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.5K

Economy+$539

Crypto+$164

World Cup-$76

Tech+$12

Biggest hit

+$1.8K

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$1.6K

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4208h ago
Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$908h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$111h ago
Bought No · Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?$12012h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$4112h ago
Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$46112h ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35113h ago
Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$7513h ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?$2.2K20h ago
Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?$1191d ago
Sold No · Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?$691d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?$645d ago