Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $19K | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$799 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $14K | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$2.0K |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $13K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$662 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $8.9K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$232 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8.3K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$160 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $6.9K | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$357 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $6.3K | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$710 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $5.3K | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $4.8K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$23 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6.3K | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$1.7K |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $4.7K | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$151 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $3.3K | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$1.0K |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $4.4K | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$277 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 34¢ | 43¢ | +$772 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $3.2K | 53¢ | 63¢ | +$585 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $3.2K | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$515 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$28 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$25 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.3K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$130 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$63 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$159 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3.2K | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$92 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $3.0K | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$100 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $2.8K | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$298 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$111 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $3.0K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $2.7K | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$121 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$24 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$95 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$26 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | No | $2.3K | 73¢ | 88¢ | +$481 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $2.6K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$43 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$26 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$389 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$119 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$113 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $2.1K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$64 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | No | $2.0K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$37 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 30¢ | 12¢ | -$3.1K |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$193 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $1.8K | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$99 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$83 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$453 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$92 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $1.7K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$47 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $1.7K | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$89 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$125 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$87 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$206 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$211 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $1.4K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $2.1K | 75¢ | 52¢ | -$658 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $1.3K | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$93 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.3K | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 51¢ | 67¢ | +$311 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$77 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$82 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$79 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $1.1K | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$140 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$82 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$106 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$63 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$64 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$12 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$91 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $898 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$161 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $915 | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$87 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $933 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$59 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $913 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$72 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $892 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$61 |
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$30 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $930 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $920 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $774 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$113 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$528 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$136 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $553 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$281 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $647 | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$158 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $781 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$10 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $756 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$8 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $782 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$35 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $707 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$30 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $676 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$55 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $734 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$9 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $720 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $667 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 62¢ | 41¢ | -$352 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $666 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$14 |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $615 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$26 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $375 | 8.7¢ | 14¢ | +$220 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | Yes | $524 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$43 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $624 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$64 |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Politics | No | $508 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$21 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $345 | 58¢ | 88¢ | +$178 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $472 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$43 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $489 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $410 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$86 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $481 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?Politics | No | $478 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |