 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20K | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$221 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $23K | 54¢ | 45¢ | -$4.2K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $17K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$309 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $10K | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $11K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$600 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $5.5K | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$850 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $4.3K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$111 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $4.1K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$208 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4.5K | 60¢ | 53¢ | -$574 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$558 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$52 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$181 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 64¢ | 58¢ | -$371 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$450 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$299 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.4K | 49¢ | 47¢ | -$171 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $3.1K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$65 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $3.1K | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$29 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$250 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.9K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $2.5K | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$313 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$121 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$228 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $2.4K | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$241 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$135 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $2.4K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$106 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$36 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$34 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.4K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $2.1K | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$263 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 75¢ | 70¢ | -$188 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$389 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$132 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$89 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 75¢ | 75¢ | -$19 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$72 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $2.2K | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$10 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$88 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $2.0K | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$202 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $1.9K | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$220 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$148 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$295 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$19 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$60 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $1.7K | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$175 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$590 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$177 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$138 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $1.7K | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$97 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$56 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $1.8K | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$240 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$266 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1.5K | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$30 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1.5K | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$65 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$22 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$27 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $1.1K | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$150 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$74 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$123 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$30 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$48 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$26 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$34 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$37 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $786 | 63¢ | 88¢ | +$310 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.1K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $987 | 47¢ | 51¢ | +$75 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$60 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$24 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | No | $976 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$55 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $996 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$30 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $948 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$52 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $995 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $959 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$30 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $915 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$70 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 57¢ | 48¢ | -$200 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$35 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $920 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $920 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $825 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$95 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $895 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $870 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$25 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $834 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$57 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $845 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$40 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $715 | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$165 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $851 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$14 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $825 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$25 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $956 | 11¢ | 9.8¢ | -$115 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $647 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$194 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $983 | 70¢ | 60¢ | -$150 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $732 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$46 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $855 | 86¢ | 76¢ | -$100 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $720 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$28 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | No | $870 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$130 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $692 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$28 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $625 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$88 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $728 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$26 |
Bought No · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?$1827m ago
MERGE Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50018m ago
Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?$15552m ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" during remarks at the Pentagon?$21h ago